Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Africa v Zimbabwe

2026-09-06 12:00 UTC — International Twenty20

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Africa (Local)

Prediction 75.92%1.32fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -2.82%
Kelly -13.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.23%75.90%76.00%77.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.2781.97%80.03%80.00%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zimbabwe (Visit)

Prediction 24.08%4.15fair odd
EV +1.13%
Edge +0.269%
Kelly +0.353%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.51%24.10%24.00%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.934.004.2027.78%25.43%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: South Africa (Local): 75.92%; Zimbabwe (Visit): 24.08%. For Zimbabwe (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.15. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.20, producing a positive expected value of +1.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.38%E -6.05%K -33.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +1.13%E +0.269%K +0.353%G +0.004%5.8%2026-09-05 23:25
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.28%EV -5.10%E -4.08%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV -3.20%E -0.797%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.10%E -4.08%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.68%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.10%E -4.08%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.68%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.10%E -4.08%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.68%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:04
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.10%E -4.08%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.68%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.10%E -4.08%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.68%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.10%E -4.08%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.68%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.10%E -4.08%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.68%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.10%E -4.08%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.68%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.86%E -4.72%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.68%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:04
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.62%E -5.38%K -28.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.68%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.86%E -4.72%K -24.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.89%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.86%E -4.72%K -24.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.89%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.10%E -4.08%K -20.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.09%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -3.58%E -2.82%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-05 23:04
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.34%E -3.44%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.10%E -4.08%K -20.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.30%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.10%E -4.08%K -20.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.50%E -2.24%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.58%E -2.82%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.70%E -2.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:04
Neds🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.58%E -2.82%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.70%E -2.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.10%E -4.08%K -20.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.32%E -3.70%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-09-05 23:05