預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

South Africa v Zimbabwe

開賽時間: 2026-09-06 12:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

24 家博彩公司 (7 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

South Africa (主隊)

預測 71.33%1.40公平賠率
EV +1.29%
優勢 +0.910%
Kelly +3.08%
成長率 +0.040%

假設最高賠率為 1.42

博彩公司預測分布
65.95%71.30%71.43%76.19%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.251.371.401.4280.00%72.93%71.17%70.42%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Zimbabwe (客隊)

預測 28.67%3.49公平賠率
EV +14.67%
優勢 +3.67%
Kelly +4.89%
成長率 +0.717%

假設最高賠率為 4.00

博彩公司預測分布
23.81%28.70%28.57%34.05%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.753.062.884.0036.36%32.67%34.72%25.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:South Africa (主隊):71.33%;Zimbabwe (客隊):28.67%。 對於「Zimbabwe (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.49的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為4.00,對應+14.67%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (24 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -10.83%E -8.67%K -43.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +14.67%E +3.67%K +4.89%G +0.717%5.0%2026-09-06 11:40
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.53%EV -10.12%E -8.03%K -38.93%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.47%EV +11.52%E +2.96%K +3.98%G +0.459%5.1%2026-09-06 11:45
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.55%E -5.00%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.53%E -0.744%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 11:54
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.55%E -5.00%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.53%E -0.744%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 11:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 11:45
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 11:45
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 11:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -7.69%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 11:50
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.56%E -1.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 11:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV +1.29%E +0.910%K +3.08%G +0.040%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -17.44%E -6.05%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 11:55
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV +0.579%E +0.411%K +1.41%G +0.008%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -17.44%E -6.05%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 11:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV +0.579%E +0.411%K +1.41%G +0.008%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -17.44%E -6.05%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 11:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV +0.579%E +0.411%K +1.41%G +0.008%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -17.44%E -6.05%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 11:54
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV +0.579%E +0.411%K +1.41%G +0.008%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -17.44%E -6.05%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV +0.579%E +0.411%K +1.41%G +0.008%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -17.44%E -6.05%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 11:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV +0.579%E +0.411%K +1.41%G +0.008%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -17.44%E -6.05%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 11:54
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +1.29%E +0.910%K +3.08%G +0.040%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -18.30%E -6.42%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +1.29%E +0.910%K +3.08%G +0.040%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -18.30%E -6.42%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 11:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV +0.579%E +0.411%K +1.41%G +0.008%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -18.30%E -6.42%K -9.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 11:54
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -0.134%E -0.096%K -0.336%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -18.30%E -6.42%K -9.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 11:50
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +1.29%E +0.910%K +3.08%G +0.040%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -19.73%E -7.05%K -10.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 11:53
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV +1.29%E +0.910%K +3.08%G +0.040%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -21.16%E -7.70%K -12.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 11:54
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -0.134%E -0.096%K -0.336%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -21.16%E -7.70%K -12.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 11:55
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -0.134%E -0.096%K -0.336%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -21.16%E -7.70%K -12.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 11:53
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-09-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-09-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-09-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-09-06 11:55