语言:简体中文
South Africa v Zimbabwe
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
South Africa (主队)
预测 71.33%1.40公平赔率
EV +1.29%
优势 +0.910%
Kelly +3.08%
增长率 +0.040%
假设最高赔率为 1.42
博彩公司预测分布
65.95%71.30%71.43%76.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.251.371.401.4280.00%72.93%71.17%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
Zimbabwe (客队)
预测 28.67%3.49公平赔率
EV +14.67%
优势 +3.67%
Kelly +4.89%
增长率 +0.717%
假设最高赔率为 4.00
博彩公司预测分布
23.81%28.70%28.57%34.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.753.062.884.0036.36%32.67%34.72%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：South Africa (主队)：71.33%；Zimbabwe (客队)：28.67%。 对于“Zimbabwe (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.49。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.00，对应+14.67%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -10.83%E -8.67%K -43.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +14.67%E +3.67%K +4.89%G +0.717% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 11:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.53%EV -10.12%E -8.03%K -38.93%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.47%EV +11.52%E +2.96%K +3.98%G +0.459% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 11:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.55%E -5.00%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.53%E -0.744%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 11:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.55%E -5.00%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.53%E -0.744%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 11:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 11:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.27%E -5.59%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 11:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -5.13%E -3.86%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -7.69%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 11:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.56%E -1.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 11:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV +1.29%E +0.910%K +3.08%G +0.040% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -17.44%E -6.05%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV +0.579%E +0.411%K +1.41%G +0.008% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -17.44%E -6.05%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 11:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV +0.579%E +0.411%K +1.41%G +0.008% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -17.44%E -6.05%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 11:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV +0.579%E +0.411%K +1.41%G +0.008% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -17.44%E -6.05%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 11:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV +0.579%E +0.411%K +1.41%G +0.008% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -17.44%E -6.05%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 11:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV +0.579%E +0.411%K +1.41%G +0.008% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -17.44%E -6.05%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 11:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV +0.579%E +0.411%K +1.41%G +0.008% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -17.44%E -6.05%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 11:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +1.29%E +0.910%K +3.08%G +0.040% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -18.30%E -6.42%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +1.29%E +0.910%K +3.08%G +0.040% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -18.30%E -6.42%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 11:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV +0.579%E +0.411%K +1.41%G +0.008% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -18.30%E -6.42%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 11:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -0.134%E -0.096%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -18.30%E -6.42%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 11:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +1.29%E +0.910%K +3.08%G +0.040% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -19.73%E -7.05%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 11:53 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV +1.29%E +0.910%K +3.08%G +0.040% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -21.16%E -7.70%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 11:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -0.134%E -0.096%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -21.16%E -7.70%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -0.134%E -0.096%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -21.16%E -7.70%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 11:53 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |