Language:English
Namibia v South Africa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Namibia (Local)
Prediction 16.93%5.91fair odd
EV +10.06%
Edge +1.55%
Kelly +1.83%
Growth +0.184%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.59%16.98%16.86%19.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.845.505.506.5020.66%18.17%18.18%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
South Africa (Visit)
Prediction 83.07%1.20fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -11.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.40%83.02%83.14%85.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.141.141.1890.09%87.61%87.72%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Namibia (Local): 16.93%; South Africa (Visit): 83.07%. For Namibia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.91. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.06%.
Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +10.06%E +1.55%K +1.83%G +0.184% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 11:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +3.28%E +0.538%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.96%E -6.22%K -58.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -1.80%E -0.310%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -1.80%E -0.310%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.64%E -0.460%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.64%E -0.460%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.13%E -5.43%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 11:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.64%E -0.460%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.13%E -5.43%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.64%E -0.460%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.13%E -5.43%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 11:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 11:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -11.11%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -6.96%E -6.22%K -58.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-28 11:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -11.96%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -13.65%E -2.68%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -15.34%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -15.34%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.13%E -5.43%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 11:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -15.34%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.13%E -5.43%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.60%EV -18.05%E -3.73%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.40%EV -1.98%E -1.68%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 13:22 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |