语言:简体中文
Namibia v South Africa
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Namibia (主队)
预测 16.93%5.91公平赔率
EV +10.06%
优势 +1.55%
Kelly +1.83%
增长率 +0.184%
假设最高赔率为 6.50
博彩公司预测分布
14.59%16.98%16.86%19.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.845.505.506.5020.66%18.17%18.18%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
South Africa (客队)
预测 83.07%1.20公平赔率
EV -1.98%
优势 -1.68%
Kelly -11.00%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.18
博彩公司预测分布
80.40%83.02%83.14%85.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.111.141.141.1890.09%87.61%87.72%84.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Namibia (主队)：16.93%；South Africa (客队)：83.07%。 对于“Namibia (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.91。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.50，对应+10.06%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +10.06%E +1.55%K +1.83%G +0.184% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 11:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +3.28%E +0.538%K +0.644%G +0.021% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.96%E -6.22%K -58.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -1.80%E -0.310%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -1.80%E -0.310%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.64%E -0.460%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.64%E -0.460%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.13%E -5.43%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 11:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.64%E -0.460%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.13%E -5.43%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.64%E -0.460%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.13%E -5.43%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 11:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 11:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -11.11%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -6.96%E -6.22%K -58.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-28 11:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -11.96%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -13.65%E -2.68%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -15.34%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -15.34%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.13%E -5.43%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 11:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -15.34%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.13%E -5.43%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.60%EV -18.05%E -3.73%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.40%EV -1.98%E -1.68%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 13:22 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |