預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Namibia v South Africa

開賽時間: 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

28 家博彩公司 (8 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Namibia (主隊)

預測 16.93%5.91公平賠率
EV +10.06%
優勢 +1.55%
Kelly +1.83%
成長率 +0.184%

假設最高賠率為 6.50

博彩公司預測分布
14.59%16.98%16.86%19.60%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.845.505.506.5020.66%18.17%18.18%15.38%最小值平均值中位數最大值

South Africa (客隊)

預測 83.07%1.20公平賠率
EV -1.98%
優勢 -1.68%
Kelly -11.00%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.18

博彩公司預測分布
80.40%83.02%83.14%85.41%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.111.141.141.1890.09%87.61%87.72%84.75%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Namibia (主隊):16.93%;South Africa (客隊):83.07%。 對於「Namibia (主隊)」,該估計相當於5.91的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為6.50,對應+10.06%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (28 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
BoyleSports🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +10.06%E +1.55%K +1.83%G +0.184%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 11:54
FanDuel🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +3.28%E +0.538%K +0.644%G +0.021%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.96%E -6.22%K -58.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 11:45
Betsson🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -1.80%E -0.310%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 11:45
NordicBet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -1.80%E -0.310%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 11:45
PlayUp🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.64%E -0.460%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 11:45
SportsBet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.64%E -0.460%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.13%E -5.43%K -47.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 11:40
GTbets🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.64%E -0.460%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.13%E -5.43%K -47.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 11:55
DraftKings🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.64%E -0.460%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.13%E -5.43%K -47.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 11:45
Unibet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 11:55
Unibet (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 11:55
Casumo🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 11:45
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 11:40
Neds🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 11:45
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 11:45
TAB🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.88%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 11:50
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -11.11%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -6.96%E -6.22%K -58.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-28 11:40
Grosvenor🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -11.96%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 11:55
TABtouch🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -13.65%E -2.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 11:55
Bet Right🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -15.34%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 11:45
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -15.34%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.13%E -5.43%K -47.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 11:44
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -15.34%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.13%E -5.43%K -47.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 11:45
Pinnacle🎯4.84I 20.66%NM 19.60%EV -18.05%E -3.73%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.40%EV -1.98%E -1.68%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 13:22
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-08-28 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-08-28 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-08-28 11:55
Matchbook◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-08-28 11:55