Language:English
Namibia v Scotland
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Namibia (Local)
Prediction 31.23%3.20fair odd
EV +5.57%
Edge +1.65%
Kelly +2.34%
Growth +0.130%
assuming max odds 3.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.24%30.91%31.40%32.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.083.153.3835.09%32.52%31.75%29.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Scotland (Visit)
Prediction 68.77%1.45fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -2.66%
Kelly -9.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.29%69.09%68.60%71.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.351.341.4075.19%73.94%74.63%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Namibia (Local): 31.23%; Scotland (Visit): 68.77%. For Namibia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV +5.57%E +1.65%K +2.34%G +0.130% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV +1.82%E +0.560%K +0.807%G +0.015% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -6.48%E -4.76%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 09:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +1.51%E +0.465%K +0.672%G +0.010% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.85%E -5.86%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -0.675%E -0.212%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -7.85%E -5.86%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 11:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.85%E -5.86%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 11:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 07:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 07:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 07:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 07:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 07:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 07:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 07:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.17%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.48%E -4.76%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.17%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.85%E -5.86%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 11:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.30%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.73%E -2.66%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.30%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.10%E -3.70%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.30%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.10%E -3.70%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.30%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.10%E -3.70%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.86%E -2.66%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.73%E -2.66%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 11:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.86%E -2.66%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.42%E -3.18%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.86%E -2.66%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.79%E -4.23%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.86%E -2.66%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.17%E -5.31%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 11:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.04%E -3.49%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.73%E -2.66%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 11:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.04%E -3.49%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.48%E -4.76%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 11:53 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -10.98%E -3.85%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -7.17%E -5.31%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 11:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -10.98%E -3.85%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -7.17%E -5.31%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 11:49 |