语言:简体中文
Namibia v Scotland
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Namibia (主队)
预测 31.23%3.20公平赔率
EV +5.57%
优势 +1.65%
Kelly +2.34%
增长率 +0.130%
假设最高赔率为 3.38
博彩公司预测分布
28.24%30.91%31.40%32.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.853.083.153.3835.09%32.52%31.75%29.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
Scotland (客队)
预测 68.77%1.45公平赔率
EV -3.73%
优势 -2.66%
Kelly -9.32%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.40
博彩公司预测分布
67.29%69.09%68.60%71.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.331.351.341.4075.19%73.94%74.63%71.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Namibia (主队)：31.23%；Scotland (客队)：68.77%。 对于“Namibia (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.20。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.38，对应+5.57%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV +5.57%E +1.65%K +2.34%G +0.130% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 10:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV +1.82%E +0.560%K +0.807%G +0.015% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -6.48%E -4.76%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 09:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +1.51%E +0.465%K +0.672%G +0.010% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.85%E -5.86%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -0.675%E -0.212%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -7.85%E -5.86%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 11:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.85%E -5.86%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 11:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 07:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 07:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 07:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 07:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 07:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 07:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 07:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.17%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.48%E -4.76%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.17%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.85%E -5.86%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 11:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.30%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.73%E -2.66%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.30%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.10%E -3.70%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.30%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.10%E -3.70%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.30%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.10%E -3.70%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.86%E -2.66%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.73%E -2.66%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 11:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.86%E -2.66%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.42%E -3.18%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.86%E -2.66%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.79%E -4.23%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.86%E -2.66%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.17%E -5.31%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 11:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.04%E -3.49%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.73%E -2.66%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 11:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.04%E -3.49%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.48%E -4.76%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 11:53 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -10.98%E -3.85%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -7.17%E -5.31%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 11:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -10.98%E -3.85%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -7.17%E -5.31%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 11:54 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 11:49 |