La scuola delle quote

Namibia v Scotland

Inizio: 2026-04-17 12:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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29 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Namibia (Casa)

Previsione 31.23%3.20quota equa
EV +5.57%
Vantaggio +1.65%
Kelly +2.34%
Crescita +0.130%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.24%30.91%31.40%32.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.083.153.3835.09%32.52%31.75%29.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Scotland (Trasferta)

Previsione 68.77%1.45quota equa
EV -3.73%
Vantaggio -2.66%
Kelly -9.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.29%69.09%68.60%71.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.351.341.4075.19%73.94%74.63%71.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV +5.57%E +1.65%K +2.34%G +0.130%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 10:40
BetOnline.ag3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV +1.82%E +0.560%K +0.807%G +0.015%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -6.48%E -4.76%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 09:54
GTbets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +1.51%E +0.465%K +0.672%G +0.010%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.85%E -5.86%K -23.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 11:54
SportsBet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -0.675%E -0.212%K -0.309%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -7.85%E -5.86%K -23.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 11:39
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.85%E -5.86%K -23.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 11:55
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 07:44
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 07:45
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 07:44
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 07:45
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 07:44
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 07:45
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 07:45
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 07:44
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -1.61%E -0.512%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.54%E -6.42%K -25.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 07:44
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.17%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.48%E -4.76%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 11:40
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.17%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.85%E -5.86%K -23.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 11:44
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.30%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.73%E -2.66%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 11:54
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.30%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.10%E -3.70%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 11:39
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.30%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.10%E -3.70%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 11:39
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.30%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.10%E -3.70%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 11:54
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.86%E -2.66%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.73%E -2.66%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 11:55
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.86%E -2.66%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.42%E -3.18%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 11:55
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.86%E -2.66%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.79%E -4.23%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 11:54
Betway2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.86%E -2.66%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.17%E -5.31%K -20.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 11:39
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.04%E -3.49%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.73%E -2.66%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 11:55
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.04%E -3.49%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.48%E -4.76%K -18.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 11:53
NordicBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -10.98%E -3.85%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -7.17%E -5.31%K -20.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 11:55
Betsson2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -10.98%E -3.85%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -7.17%E -5.31%K -20.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 11:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-04-17 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-04-17 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-04-17 11:49