Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.48
assuming max odds 3.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Mystics (Local): 67.10%; Seattle Storm (Visit): 32.90%. For Seattle Storm (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.99%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV +1.99%E +0.642%K +0.948%G +0.019% | 2.7% | 2026-07-12 18:58 |
| betano_uk | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV +1.99%E +0.642%K +0.948%G +0.019% | 2.7% | 2026-07-12 19:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.99%E +0.642%K +0.948%G +0.019% | 3.7% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.30%E -0.433%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 19:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.95%EV -5.39%E -3.82%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.05%EV -1.63%E -0.545%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 18:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -1.96%E -0.657%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 19:00 |
| Bovada | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.94%E -0.998%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-12 18:58 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.94%E -0.998%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-12 19:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.94%E -0.998%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.90%EV -6.73%E -4.84%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.10%EV -3.27%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-12 19:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.21%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV -4.26%E -1.46%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 18:58 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 18:55 |
| BetUS | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 19:00 |
| Unibet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| betPARX | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 19:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.39%E -3.82%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.39%E -3.82%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.74%E -6.43%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| ReBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -5.91%E -2.06%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.38%E -2.34%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-12 19:00 |
| Caesars | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.38%E -2.34%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-12 18:57 |
| GTbets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.38%E -2.34%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 19:00 |
| Neds | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.39%E -3.82%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-12 18:58 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -0.692%E -0.468%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -0.692%E -0.468%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.74%E -6.43%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -0.692%E -0.468%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-12 19:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -12.81%E -4.84%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-07-12 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-07-12 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-07-12 19:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-07-12 19:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 18:59 |
| Kalshi | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 19:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 19:00 |
| Novig | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.19% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.81% | 1.9% | 2026-07-12 19:00 |