The School of Odds

Washington Mystics v Seattle Storm

2026-07-12 19:00 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Washington Mystics (Local)

Prediction 58.58%1.71fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.33%58.58%58.67%59.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.571.621.621.6764%62%62%60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Seattle Storm (Visit)

Prediction 41.42%2.41fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.81%41.42%41.33%42.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.152.292.302.3547%44%43%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.17%E -1.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-11 18:34
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-11 17:04
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 16:59
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:24
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:26
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 17:09
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.66%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 17:20
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 17:09
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 19:04
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 17:04
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 17:04
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 17:15
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 19:04
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.90%E -1.68%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 17:14
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 17:05
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 17:05
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 17:04
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.56%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 19:04
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.97%E -2.63%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 19:04
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 17:05
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 17:03
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 17:04
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.73%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 17:14
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 19:04
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-11 17:09
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%2.8%2026-07-11 19:24
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%3.9%2026-07-11 19:20