L’École des cotes

Washington Mystics v Seattle Storm

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-12 19:05 UTC

Score final : Washington Mystics 84–79 Seattle Storm

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Mystics (Local)

Prévision 67.10%1.49cote équitable
EV -0.692%
Avantage -0.468%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.01%67.19%67.17%68.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.421.421.4873.53%70.52%70.42%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Storm (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.90%3.04cote équitable
EV +1.99%
Avantage +0.642%
Kelly +0.948%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.11%32.81%32.83%34.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.892.903.1037.74%34.60%34.48%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV +1.99%E +0.642%K +0.948%G +0.019%2.7%2026-07-12 18:58
betano_uk1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV +1.99%E +0.642%K +0.948%G +0.019%2.7%2026-07-12 19:00
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.99%E +0.642%K +0.948%G +0.019%3.7%2026-07-12 18:59
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.30%E -0.433%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 19:00
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.95%EV -5.39%E -3.82%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.05%EV -1.63%E -0.545%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 18:45
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -1.96%E -0.657%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 19:00
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.94%E -0.998%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 18:58
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.94%E -0.998%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 19:00
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.94%E -0.998%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 18:59
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.90%EV -6.73%E -4.84%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.10%EV -3.27%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 19:00
MyBookie.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.21%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV -4.26%E -1.46%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 18:58
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 18:55
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 18:59
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:59
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 19:00
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:59
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 19:00
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:59
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 19:00
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:59
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.39%E -3.82%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:59
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.39%E -3.82%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:59
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 18:59
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 18:59
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 18:59
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 19:00
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.74%E -6.43%K -24.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-12 18:59
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -5.91%E -2.06%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:59
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.38%E -2.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 19:00
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.38%E -2.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 18:57
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.38%E -2.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 19:00
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 18:59
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 18:59
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.39%E -3.82%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 18:58
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 18:59
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -0.692%E -0.468%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -0.692%E -0.468%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 18:59
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 18:59
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 18:59
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.74%E -6.43%K -24.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-12 18:59
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -0.692%E -0.468%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 19:00
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 18:59
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -12.81%E -4.84%K -7.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-12 18:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-12 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-12 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-12 19:00
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-12 19:00
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-12 18:59
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-07-12 19:00
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-07-12 19:00
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 67.19%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.81%1.9%2026-07-12 19:00