A Escola das Odds

Washington Mystics v Seattle Storm

Início: 2026-07-12 19:05 UTC

Final: Washington Mystics 84–79 Seattle Storm

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Washington Mystics (Local)

Previsão 67.10%1.49odd justa
EV -0.692%
Vantagem -0.468%
Kelly -1.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.01%67.19%67.17%68.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.361.421.421.4873.53%70.52%70.42%67.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Seattle Storm (Visitante)

Previsão 32.90%3.04odd justa
EV +1.99%
Vantagem +0.642%
Kelly +0.948%
Crescimento +0.019%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.11%32.81%32.83%34.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.652.892.903.1037.74%34.60%34.48%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bet Victor1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV +1.99%E +0.642%K +0.948%G +0.019%2.7%2026-07-12 18:58
betano_uk1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV +1.99%E +0.642%K +0.948%G +0.019%2.7%2026-07-12 19:00
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.99%E +0.642%K +0.948%G +0.019%3.7%2026-07-12 18:59
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.30%E -0.433%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 19:00
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.95%EV -5.39%E -3.82%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.05%EV -1.63%E -0.545%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 18:45
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -1.96%E -0.657%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 19:00
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.94%E -0.998%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 18:58
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.94%E -0.998%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 19:00
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.94%E -0.998%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 18:59
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.90%EV -6.73%E -4.84%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.10%EV -3.27%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 19:00
MyBookie.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.21%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV -4.26%E -1.46%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 18:58
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 18:55
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 18:59
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:59
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 19:00
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:59
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 19:00
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:59
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 19:00
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:59
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.39%E -3.82%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:59
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.39%E -3.82%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:59
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 18:59
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 18:59
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 18:59
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 19:00
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.74%E -6.43%K -24.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-12 18:59
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -5.91%E -2.06%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 18:59
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.38%E -2.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 19:00
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.38%E -2.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 18:57
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.38%E -2.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 19:00
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 18:59
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 18:59
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.39%E -3.82%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 18:58
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 18:59
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -0.692%E -0.468%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -0.692%E -0.468%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 18:59
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 18:59
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.72%E -3.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 18:59
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.74%E -6.43%K -24.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-12 18:59
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -0.692%E -0.468%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 19:00
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 18:59
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -6.06%E -4.33%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -12.81%E -4.84%K -7.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-12 18:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-12 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-12 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-12 19:00
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-07-12 19:00
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-12 18:59
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-07-12 19:00
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-07-12 19:00
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 67.19%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.81%1.9%2026-07-12 19:00