Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Mystics v Portland Fire

Kickoff: 2026-06-28 19:00 UTC

Final: Washington Mystics 124–123 Portland Fire

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Mystics (Local)

Prediction 70.95%1.41fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -7.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.28%70.90%70.97%71.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.351.3776.92%74.23%74.07%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Portland Fire (Visit)

Prediction 29.05%3.44fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.363%
Kelly -0.515%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.27%29.10%29.03%30.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.243.253.4033.33%30.82%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Mystics (Local): 70.95%; Portland Fire (Visit): 29.05%. For Portland Fire (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -1.24%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -2.80%E -2.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -2.69%E -0.802%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-28 18:48
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 18:30
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 18:20
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 18:30
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 18:29
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 18:29
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 18:30
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 18:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 18:30
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 18:29
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.40%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.60%EV -2.11%E -0.625%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-28 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 18:29
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 18:19
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 18:29
Caesars🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -4.72%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 18:28
ReBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.59%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -5.88%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 18:49
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 18:30
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 18:30
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.24%E -0.363%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 18:20
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.24%E -0.363%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 16:37
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 18:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 17:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -4.72%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 18:39
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 16:29
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 16:30
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -7.63%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-28 18:19
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 15:00
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 17:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-28 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-28 17:29
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.34%E -4.81%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.34%E -4.81%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 18:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -7.76%E -5.97%K -25.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-28 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 71.63%3.51I 28.49%NM 28.37%0.4%2026-06-28 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-06-28 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-06-28 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-06-28 18:50
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-06-28 18:50
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-06-28 16:30
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-06-28 18:30