A Escola das Odds

Washington Mystics v Portland Fire

Início: 2026-06-28 19:00 UTC

Final: Washington Mystics 124–123 Portland Fire

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Washington Mystics (Local)

Previsão 70.95%1.41odd justa
EV -2.80%
Vantagem -2.04%
Kelly -7.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.28%70.90%70.97%71.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.301.351.351.3776.92%74.23%74.07%72.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Portland Fire (Visitante)

Previsão 29.05%3.44odd justa
EV -1.24%
Vantagem -0.363%
Kelly -0.515%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.27%29.10%29.03%30.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.243.253.4033.33%30.82%30.77%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Victor1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -2.80%E -2.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -2.69%E -0.802%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-28 18:48
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 18:30
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 18:20
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 18:30
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 18:30
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 18:29
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 18:20
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 18:29
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 18:30
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 18:30
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 18:30
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 18:29
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 18:30
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 18:29
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 18:30
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 71.40%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.60%EV -2.11%E -0.625%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-28 18:30
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 18:29
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 18:19
BetMGM1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 18:29
Caesars1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -4.72%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 18:28
ReBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.59%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -5.88%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 18:49
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 18:30
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 18:30
theScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.24%E -0.363%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 18:20
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.24%E -0.363%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 16:37
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 18:29
Betr (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 17:50
MyBookie.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -4.72%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 18:39
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 16:29
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 16:30
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -7.63%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-28 18:19
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 14:59
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 14:59
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 15:00
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 17:50
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 16:30
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-28 18:50
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-28 17:29
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.34%E -4.81%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 18:20
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.34%E -4.81%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 18:20
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -7.76%E -5.97%K -25.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-28 18:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 71.63%3.51I 28.49%NM 28.37%0.4%2026-06-28 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-06-28 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-06-28 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-06-28 18:50
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-06-28 18:50
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-06-28 16:30
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-06-28 18:30