La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Washington Mystics v Portland Fire
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Washington Mystics (Local)
Predicción 70.95%1.41momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -2.04%
Kelly -7.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.28%70.90%70.97%71.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.351.351.3776.92%74.23%74.07%72.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Portland Fire (Visitante)
Predicción 29.05%3.44momio equitativo
EV -1.24%
Ventaja -0.363%
Kelly -0.515%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.27%29.10%29.03%30.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.243.253.4033.33%30.82%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -2.80%E -2.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -2.69%E -0.802%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-28 18:48 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |
| GTbets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-28 18:20 |
| BetUS | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-28 18:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 18:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 18:29 |
| Unibet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 18:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 18:29 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.40%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.60%EV -2.11%E -0.625%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-28 18:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-28 18:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-28 18:29 |
| Caesars | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -4.72%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-28 18:28 |
| ReBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.59%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -5.88%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.24%E -0.363%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-28 18:20 |
| Bovada | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.24%E -0.363%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-28 16:37 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-28 18:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-28 17:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -4.72%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-28 18:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-28 16:29 |
| TAB | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 16:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -4.92%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -7.63%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-28 18:19 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-28 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-28 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-28 15:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-28 17:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-28 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-28 17:29 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.34%E -4.81%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-28 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.34%E -4.81%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-28 18:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -7.76%E -5.97%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.63% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 28.37% | 0.4% | 2026-06-28 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Polymarket | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-28 16:30 |
| ProphetX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |