The School of Odds

Washington Mystics v Portland Fire

2026-07-16 23:10 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Washington Mystics (Local)

Prediction 62.65%1.60fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -6.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.04%62.75%62.56%63.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.431.511.501.5470%66%67%65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Portland Fire (Visit)

Prediction 37.35%2.68fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.674%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.17%37.25%37.44%38.96%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.352.562.562.6343%39%39%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.52%E -2.28%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.76%E -1.87%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-15 01:59
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.52%E -2.28%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.76%E -1.87%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-15 02:29
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.52%E -2.28%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -5.13%E -2.02%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 01:54
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.14%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-15 02:39
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.14%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-15 01:39
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.14%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.64%E -1.41%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-15 02:28
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.14%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.76%E -1.87%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-15 03:39
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -4.14%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -5.51%E -2.18%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-15 02:40
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.14%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 01:42
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.77%E -3.14%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.76%E -1.87%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 05:54
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -4.77%E -3.14%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -5.13%E -2.02%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-15 01:39
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.77%E -3.14%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-15 01:54
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.77%E -3.14%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-15 05:54
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.02%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.77%E -0.674%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-15 07:25
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.02%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.77%E -0.674%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-15 07:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.02%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.77%E -0.674%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-15 07:24
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.02%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.77%E -0.674%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-15 07:24
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.02%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.77%E -0.674%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-15 07:25
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.02%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.77%E -0.674%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-15 07:25
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.02%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.77%E -0.674%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-15 07:25
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.02%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.77%E -0.674%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-15 07:24
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.02%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 05:49
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.02%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 05:49
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.02%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 05:49
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -6.02%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -5.51%E -2.18%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-15 01:39
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.02%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-15 01:39
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.02%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-15 01:33
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.02%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -7.37%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-15 02:40
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.02%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -7.37%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-15 02:39
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -6.02%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%EV -8.12%E -3.30%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-15 02:39
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.02%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.23%E -5.20%K -9.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-15 01:39
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.65%E -4.46%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.77%E -0.674%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 07:25
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.65%E -4.46%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.77%E -0.674%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 07:25
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -10.41%E -7.28%K -24.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-15 07:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%4.6%2026-07-15 05:14
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%4.9%2026-07-15 07:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%10.0%2026-07-15 07:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%10.0%2026-07-15 07:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%10.0%2026-07-15 07:15