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Washington Mystics v Portland Fire
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Mystics (Local)
Prediction 69.13%1.45fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -4.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.06%69.04%69.14%70.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.36%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Portland Fire (Visit)
Prediction 30.87%3.24fair odd
EV +1.86%
Edge +0.563%
Kelly +0.808%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.03%30.96%30.86%32.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.043.043.3035.71%32.90%32.89%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Mystics (Local): 69.13%; Portland Fire (Visit): 30.87%. For Portland Fire (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.86%E +0.563%K +0.808%G +0.015% | 3.8% | 2026-07-16 22:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +1.86%E +0.563%K +0.808%G +0.015% | 4.4% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| Caesars | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV +1.24%E +0.378%K +0.544%G +0.007% | 4.6% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.23%E -0.384%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.77%E -0.880%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-16 22:54 |
| GTbets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.77%E -0.880%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.77%E -0.880%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.77%E -0.880%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.77%E -0.880%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.77%E -0.880%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.77%E -0.880%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -3.90%E -2.81%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -4.01%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-16 22:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-16 22:50 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| ReBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.29%E -3.86%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 22:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.29%E -3.86%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-16 22:59 |
| TAB | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -4.93%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-16 22:59 |
| Betsson | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.86%EV -5.29%E -3.86%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.14%EV -6.48%E -2.14%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-16 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -3.90%E -2.81%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -6.78%E -2.25%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-16 22:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -1.83%E -1.29%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -7.40%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-16 22:49 |
| betano_uk | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -1.83%E -1.29%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -7.40%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-16 22:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.40%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.40%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.05%E -6.05%K -24.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.40%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 14:35 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 14:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -10.49%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -10.49%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.49%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-16 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.49%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-16 19:30 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -12.03%E -4.22%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.58%E -4.85%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -13.58%E -4.85%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Novig | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.46% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.54% | 1.4% | 2026-07-16 22:58 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.7% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 2.7% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |