La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Washington Mystics v Portland Fire
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Washington Mystics (Local)
Predicción 69.13%1.45momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -4.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.06%69.04%69.14%70.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.36%72.46%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Portland Fire (Visitante)
Predicción 30.87%3.24momio equitativo
EV +1.86%
Ventaja +0.563%
Kelly +0.808%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.03%30.96%30.86%32.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.043.043.3035.71%32.90%32.89%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.86%E +0.563%K +0.808%G +0.015% | 3.8% | 2026-07-16 22:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +1.86%E +0.563%K +0.808%G +0.015% | 4.4% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| Caesars | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV +1.24%E +0.378%K +0.544%G +0.007% | 4.6% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.23%E -0.384%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.77%E -0.880%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-16 22:54 |
| GTbets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.77%E -0.880%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.77%E -0.880%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.77%E -0.880%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.77%E -0.880%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.77%E -0.880%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.77%E -0.880%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -3.90%E -2.81%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -4.01%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-16 22:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-16 22:50 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| ReBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.29%E -3.86%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 22:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.29%E -3.86%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-16 22:59 |
| TAB | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -4.93%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-16 22:59 |
| Betsson | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.86%EV -5.29%E -3.86%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.14%EV -6.48%E -2.14%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-16 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -3.90%E -2.81%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -6.78%E -2.25%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-16 22:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -1.83%E -1.29%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -7.40%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-16 22:49 |
| betano_uk | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -1.83%E -1.29%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -7.40%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-16 22:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.40%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.40%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.05%E -6.05%K -24.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.40%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 14:35 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 14:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -10.49%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -10.49%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.49%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-16 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.49%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-16 19:30 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -12.03%E -4.22%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.58%E -4.85%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -13.58%E -4.85%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Novig | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.46% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.54% | 1.4% | 2026-07-16 22:58 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.7% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 2.7% | 2026-07-16 23:00 |