L’École des cotes

Washington Mystics v Portland Fire

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-16 23:10 UTC

Score final : Washington Mystics 56–75 Portland Fire

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Mystics (Local)

Prévision 69.13%1.45cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -4.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.06%69.04%69.14%70.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.36%72.46%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Portland Fire (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.87%3.24cote équitable
EV +1.86%
Avantage +0.563%
Kelly +0.808%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.03%30.96%30.86%32.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.043.043.3035.71%32.90%32.89%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.86%E +0.563%K +0.808%G +0.015%3.8%2026-07-16 22:59
BetMGM1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +1.86%E +0.563%K +0.808%G +0.015%4.4%2026-07-16 23:00
Caesars1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV +1.24%E +0.378%K +0.544%G +0.007%4.6%2026-07-16 22:55
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.23%E -0.384%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 23:00
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.77%E -0.880%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-16 22:54
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.77%E -0.880%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-16 22:55
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.77%E -0.880%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-16 22:55
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.77%E -0.880%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-16 22:55
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.77%E -0.880%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-16 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.77%E -0.880%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 23:00
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.77%E -0.880%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 23:00
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -3.90%E -2.81%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -4.01%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-16 22:50
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-16 23:00
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 22:50
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 22:55
ReBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.29%E -3.86%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 22:59
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.29%E -3.86%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 23:00
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 22:59
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 23:00
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -4.93%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-16 23:00
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.60%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 22:55
NordicBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-16 22:59
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-16 23:00
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.86%EV -5.29%E -3.86%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.14%EV -6.48%E -2.14%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-16 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -3.90%E -2.81%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -6.78%E -2.25%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 22:59
Bet Victor1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -1.83%E -1.29%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -7.40%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-16 22:49
betano_uk1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -1.83%E -1.29%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -7.40%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-16 22:49
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.40%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-16 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.40%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-16 22:55
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.05%E -6.05%K -24.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.40%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-16 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 22:20
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 14:35
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 22:20
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 14:35
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 14:35
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 14:30
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 23:00
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -10.49%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 22:20
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -10.49%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 22:20
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.49%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 19:30
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.49%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 19:30
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -12.03%E -4.22%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-16 23:00
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.98%E -4.40%K -16.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.58%E -4.85%K -7.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-16 23:00
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -13.58%E -4.85%K -7.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-16 22:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-07-16 22:55
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-07-16 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-07-16 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-07-16 22:55
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 69.46%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.54%1.4%2026-07-16 22:58
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-07-16 23:00
ProphetX1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.7%2026-07-16 23:00