Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Tempo v Portland Fire

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 22:01 UTC

Final: Toronto Tempo 80–99 Portland Fire

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Tempo (Local)

Prediction 64.82%1.54fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -5.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.99%64.91%64.88%67.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.481.5071.43%67.81%67.57%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Portland Fire (Visit)

Prediction 35.18%2.84fair odd
EV +2.72%
Edge +0.931%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.038%

assuming max odds 2.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.87%35.09%35.12%37.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.682.652.9241.67%37.28%37.74%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Tempo (Local): 64.82%; Portland Fire (Visit): 35.18%. For Portland Fire (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.72%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -7.30%E -5.11%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +2.72%E +0.931%K +1.42%G +0.038%4.2%2026-05-23 21:55
Bet Victor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV +2.01%E +0.694%K +1.06%G +0.021%2.5%2026-05-23 21:57
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -7.30%E -5.11%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV +0.607%E +0.212%K +0.326%G +0.002%4.9%2026-05-23 22:00
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -8.60%E -6.10%K -20.98%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV +0.607%E +0.212%K +0.326%G +0.002%5.9%2026-05-23 21:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -0.449%E -0.159%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 21:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -0.449%E -0.159%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 22:00
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.50%E -0.537%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 21:59
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.01%E -4.14%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.50%E -0.537%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 21:59
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.01%E -4.14%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.50%E -0.537%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 21:59
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -2.56%E -0.924%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 21:46
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -6.01%E -4.14%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -2.56%E -0.924%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 21:58
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 21:59
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 21:59
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.66%E -4.62%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 21:59
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.25%E -6.61%K -23.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 21:59
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.41%E -2.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 21:59
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 21:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.01%E -4.14%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 21:59
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.30%E -5.11%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 21:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 21:59
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 21:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 21:59
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 21:59
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.84%E -2.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 21:59
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 22:00
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 22:00
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 22:00
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 21:59
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 21:59
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.30%E -5.11%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -10.30%E -4.04%K -6.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 21:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -8.60%E -6.10%K -20.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.01%EV -15.57%E -6.49%K -11.12%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-23 21:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-05-23 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-05-23 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-05-23 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-05-23 22:00
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 65.53%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.47%1.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-05-23 22:00
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-05-23 22:00