La escuela de los momios

Toronto Tempo v Portland Fire

Inicio: 2026-05-23 22:01 UTC

Final: Toronto Tempo 80–99 Portland Fire

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Toronto Tempo (Local)

Predicción 64.82%1.54momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -1.84%
Kelly -5.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.99%64.91%64.88%67.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.471.481.5071.43%67.81%67.57%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Portland Fire (Visitante)

Predicción 35.18%2.84momio equitativo
EV +2.72%
Ventaja +0.931%
Kelly +1.42%
Crecimiento +0.038%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.87%35.09%35.12%37.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.682.652.9241.67%37.28%37.74%34.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Caesars1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -7.30%E -5.11%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +2.72%E +0.931%K +1.42%G +0.038%4.2%2026-05-23 21:55
Bet Victor1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV +2.01%E +0.694%K +1.06%G +0.021%2.5%2026-05-23 21:57
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -7.30%E -5.11%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV +0.607%E +0.212%K +0.326%G +0.002%4.9%2026-05-23 22:00
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -8.60%E -6.10%K -20.98%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV +0.607%E +0.212%K +0.326%G +0.002%5.9%2026-05-23 21:59
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -0.449%E -0.159%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 21:59
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -0.449%E -0.159%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 22:00
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.50%E -0.537%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 21:59
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.01%E -4.14%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.50%E -0.537%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 21:59
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.01%E -4.14%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.50%E -0.537%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 21:59
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -2.56%E -0.924%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 21:46
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -6.01%E -4.14%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -2.56%E -0.924%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 21:58
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 21:59
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 21:59
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.66%E -4.62%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 21:59
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.25%E -6.61%K -23.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 21:59
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.41%E -2.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 21:59
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 21:59
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.01%E -4.14%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 21:59
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.30%E -5.11%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 21:59
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 21:59
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 21:59
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 21:59
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 21:59
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.84%E -2.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 21:59
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 22:00
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 22:00
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 22:00
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 21:59
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 21:59
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.30%E -5.11%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -10.30%E -4.04%K -6.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 21:59
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -8.60%E -6.10%K -20.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.01%EV -15.57%E -6.49%K -11.12%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-23 21:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-05-23 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-05-23 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-05-23 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-05-23 22:00
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 65.53%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.47%1.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-05-23 22:00
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-05-23 22:00