L’École des cotes

Toronto Tempo v Portland Fire

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 22:01 UTC

Score final : Toronto Tempo 80–99 Portland Fire

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Toronto Tempo (Local)

Prévision 64.82%1.54cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -1.84%
Kelly -5.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.99%64.91%64.88%67.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.471.481.5071.43%67.81%67.57%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Portland Fire (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.18%2.84cote équitable
EV +2.72%
Avantage +0.931%
Kelly +1.42%
Croissance +0.038%

avec la cote maximale 2.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.87%35.09%35.12%37.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.682.652.9241.67%37.28%37.74%34.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Caesars1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -7.30%E -5.11%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +2.72%E +0.931%K +1.42%G +0.038%4.2%2026-05-23 21:55
Bet Victor1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV +2.01%E +0.694%K +1.06%G +0.021%2.5%2026-05-23 21:57
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -7.30%E -5.11%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV +0.607%E +0.212%K +0.326%G +0.002%4.9%2026-05-23 22:00
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -8.60%E -6.10%K -20.98%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV +0.607%E +0.212%K +0.326%G +0.002%5.9%2026-05-23 21:59
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -0.449%E -0.159%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 21:59
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -0.449%E -0.159%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 22:00
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.50%E -0.537%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 21:59
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.01%E -4.14%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.50%E -0.537%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 21:59
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.01%E -4.14%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.50%E -0.537%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 21:59
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -2.56%E -0.924%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 21:46
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -6.01%E -4.14%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -2.56%E -0.924%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 21:58
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 21:59
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 21:59
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.66%E -4.62%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 21:59
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.25%E -6.61%K -23.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 21:59
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.41%E -2.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 21:59
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 21:59
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.01%E -4.14%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 21:59
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.30%E -5.11%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 21:59
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 21:59
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 21:59
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 21:59
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 21:59
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.84%E -2.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 21:59
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 22:00
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 22:00
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.77%E -1.84%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 22:00
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 21:59
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 21:59
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.30%E -5.11%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -10.30%E -4.04%K -6.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 21:59
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -8.60%E -6.10%K -20.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.01%EV -15.57%E -6.49%K -11.12%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-23 21:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-05-23 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-05-23 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-05-23 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-05-23 22:00
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 65.53%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.47%1.1%2026-05-23 21:59
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-05-23 22:00
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-05-23 22:00