Language:English
Toronto Tempo v Phoenix Mercury
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Tempo (Local)
Prediction 65.83%1.52fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -5.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.04%65.71%65.81%66.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.441.441.4872.46%69.29%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Phoenix Mercury (Visit)
Prediction 34.17%2.93fair odd
EV -0.904%
Edge -0.312%
Kelly -0.476%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.10%34.29%34.19%35.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.772.802.9038.46%36.04%35.71%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Tempo (Local): 65.83%; Phoenix Mercury (Visit): 34.17%. For Phoenix Mercury (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -0.904%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.57%E -1.74%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.57%E -1.74%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.57%E -1.74%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-27 17:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.57%E -1.74%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.57%E -1.74%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.57%E -1.74%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.23%E -2.20%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -0.904%E -0.312%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.23%E -2.20%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.89%E -2.66%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -3.89%E -2.66%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -6.37%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-27 17:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.89%E -2.66%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.89%E -2.66%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.55%E -3.14%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.55%E -3.14%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.55%E -3.14%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.55%E -3.14%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.55%E -3.14%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.55%E -3.14%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.74%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-27 17:58 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.61%E -0.917%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-27 17:57 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.61%E -0.917%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.95%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -5.35%E -1.93%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -3.98%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -7.18%E -5.09%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -2.61%E -0.917%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-27 17:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.16%E -6.63%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.74%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23% | 0.0% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72% | 2.1% | 2026-06-27 18:00 |