La escuela de los momios

Toronto Tempo v Phoenix Mercury

Inicio: 2026-06-27 18:02 UTC

Final: Toronto Tempo 80–89 Phoenix Mercury

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Toronto Tempo (Local)

Predicción 65.83%1.52momio equitativo
EV -2.57%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -5.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.04%65.71%65.81%66.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.441.441.4872.46%69.29%69.44%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)

Predicción 34.17%2.93momio equitativo
EV -0.904%
Ventaja -0.312%
Kelly -0.476%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.10%34.29%34.19%35.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.772.802.9038.46%36.04%35.71%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.57%E -1.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-27 17:59
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.57%E -1.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-27 17:59
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.57%E -1.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-27 17:58
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.57%E -1.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-27 18:00
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.57%E -1.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-27 18:00
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.57%E -1.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-27 18:00
Bet Victor1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.23%E -2.20%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -0.904%E -0.312%K -0.476%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-27 17:59
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.23%E -2.20%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-27 17:59
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.89%E -2.66%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 17:59
MyBookie.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -3.89%E -2.66%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -6.37%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 17:58
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.89%E -2.66%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 17:59
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.89%E -2.66%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 18:00
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.55%E -3.14%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 17:59
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.55%E -3.14%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 17:59
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.55%E -3.14%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 18:00
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.55%E -3.14%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.55%E -3.14%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 17:59
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.55%E -3.14%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.74%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 17:58
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.61%E -0.917%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-27 17:57
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.61%E -0.917%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-27 17:59
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 18:00
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 18:00
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 17:59
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 17:59
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 18:00
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 17:59
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 17:59
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 17:59
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.95%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 17:59
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 18:00
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 18:00
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 18:00
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 17:59
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 18:00
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 18:00
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 17:59
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 17:59
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 17:59
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -5.35%E -1.93%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 17:59
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 18:00
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -3.98%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 18:00
Fliff1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -7.18%E -5.09%K -17.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -2.61%E -0.917%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 17:59
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 17:59
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.16%E -6.63%K -24.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.74%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-27 18:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23%0.0%2026-06-27 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-06-27 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-06-27 18:00
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-06-27 18:00
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-06-27 18:00
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-06-27 18:00
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%2.1%2026-06-27 18:00