L’École des cotes

Toronto Tempo v Phoenix Mercury

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-27 18:02 UTC

Score final : Toronto Tempo 80–89 Phoenix Mercury

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Toronto Tempo (Local)

Prévision 65.83%1.52cote équitable
EV -2.57%
Avantage -1.74%
Kelly -5.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.04%65.71%65.81%66.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.441.441.4872.46%69.29%69.44%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Phoenix Mercury (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.17%2.93cote équitable
EV -0.904%
Avantage -0.312%
Kelly -0.476%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.10%34.29%34.19%35.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.772.802.9038.46%36.04%35.71%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.57%E -1.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-27 17:59
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.57%E -1.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-27 17:59
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.57%E -1.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-27 17:58
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.57%E -1.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-27 18:00
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.57%E -1.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-27 18:00
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.57%E -1.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-27 18:00
Bet Victor1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.23%E -2.20%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -0.904%E -0.312%K -0.476%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-27 17:59
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.23%E -2.20%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-27 17:59
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.89%E -2.66%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 17:59
MyBookie.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -3.89%E -2.66%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -6.37%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 17:58
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.89%E -2.66%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 17:59
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.89%E -2.66%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 18:00
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.55%E -3.14%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 17:59
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.55%E -3.14%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 17:59
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.55%E -3.14%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-27 18:00
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.55%E -3.14%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.55%E -3.14%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 17:59
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.55%E -3.14%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.74%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 17:58
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.61%E -0.917%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-27 17:57
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.61%E -0.917%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-27 17:59
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 18:00
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 18:00
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 17:59
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 17:59
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 18:00
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 17:59
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 17:59
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.21%E -3.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 17:59
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.95%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 17:59
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 18:00
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 18:00
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 18:00
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 17:59
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 18:00
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 18:00
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 17:59
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 17:59
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 17:59
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -5.35%E -1.93%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 17:59
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 18:00
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -3.98%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 18:00
Fliff1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -7.18%E -5.09%K -17.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -2.61%E -0.917%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 17:59
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.84%E -5.60%K -19.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 17:59
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.16%E -6.63%K -24.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.74%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-27 18:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23%0.0%2026-06-27 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-06-27 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-06-27 18:00
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-06-27 18:00
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-06-27 18:00
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-06-27 18:00
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%2.1%2026-06-27 18:00