Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 5.00
assuming max odds 1.26
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Storm (Local): 21.01%; Minnesota Lynx (Visit): 78.99%. For Seattle Storm (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.76. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.03%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +5.03%E +1.01%K +1.26%G +0.063% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +5.03%E +1.01%K +1.26%G +0.063% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +5.03%E +1.01%K +1.26%G +0.063% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -6.00%E -5.04%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.03%E +1.01%K +1.26%G +0.063% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-21 01:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.833%E +0.173%K +0.219%G +0.002% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 01:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.218%E -0.046%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-21 00:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.218%E -0.046%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.218%E -0.046%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-21 02:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.37%E -0.732%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-21 00:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.37%E -0.732%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.00%E -5.04%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.47%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-21 00:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 00:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -5.47%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -8.37%E -7.21%K -52.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.62%EV -6.31%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.38%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-21 01:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -6.52%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-21 01:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 01:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 01:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -8.20%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-21 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -8.20%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-21 02:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-21 00:17 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-21 01:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 01:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 01:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 01:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 01:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 01:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 01:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 01:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 01:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 01:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-21 00:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.95%EV -8.37%E -7.21%K -52.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.67%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.67%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-20 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.67%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-20 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-21 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-21 01:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-21 01:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-21 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-20 20:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-21 01:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.97%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-20 14:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.00%EV -16.18%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.00%EV -0.469%E -0.372%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-20 21:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 0.7% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 1.1% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| Novig◎ | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03% | 2.5% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |