Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Storm v Minnesota Lynx

Início: 2026-07-21 02:08 UTC

Final: Seattle Storm 102–105 Minnesota Lynx

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Storm (Local)

Previsão 21.01%4.76odd justa
EV +5.03%
Vantagem +1.01%
Kelly +1.26%
Crescimento +0.063%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.96%20.91%21.08%24.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.994.434.355.0025.06%22.58%22.99%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Lynx (Visitante)

Previsão 78.99%1.27odd justa
EV -0.469%
Vantagem -0.372%
Kelly -1.80%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.00%79.09%78.92%81.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.161.211.221.2686.21%82.69%81.97%79.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Storm (Local): 21.01%; Minnesota Lynx (Visitante): 78.99%. Para Seattle Storm (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.76. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.03%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +5.03%E +1.01%K +1.26%G +0.063%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-21 02:05
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +5.03%E +1.01%K +1.26%G +0.063%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-21 02:05
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +5.03%E +1.01%K +1.26%G +0.063%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -6.00%E -5.04%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 02:05
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.03%E +1.01%K +1.26%G +0.063%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 01:59
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.833%E +0.173%K +0.219%G +0.002%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 01:59
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.218%E -0.046%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-21 00:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.218%E -0.046%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 02:05
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.218%E -0.046%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 02:00
Fanatics🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.37%E -0.732%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-21 00:25
Fliff🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.37%E -0.732%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.00%E -5.04%K -31.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 02:05
DraftKings🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.47%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-21 00:20
Neds🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 00:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 00:50
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -5.47%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -8.37%E -7.21%K -52.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 02:05
Pinnacle🎯4.46I 22.42%NM 21.62%EV -6.31%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.38%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-21 01:55
GTbets🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -6.52%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-21 01:59
ReBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 01:50
MyBookie.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 01:54
BetUS🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 01:59
BetOnline.ag🎯4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -8.20%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-21 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -8.20%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-21 02:00
Caesars🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 00:17
BetAnything🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 01:55
Betr (AU)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 14:35
BetRivers🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 01:05
Unibet (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 01:05
TABtouch🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 01:05
Unibet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 01:05
Unibet (NL)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 01:05
ATG (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 01:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 01:05
betPARX🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 01:04
Bally Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 01:05
Bovada🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 02:05
SportsBet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 00:20
LeoVegas🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.95%EV -8.37%E -7.21%K -52.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-21 02:05
Bet Right🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.67%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 14:35
NordicBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.67%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-20 19:20
Betsson🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.67%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-20 19:20
FanDuel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 00:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 01:30
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 01:30
TAB🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 02:00
BoyleSports🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-20 20:20
PMU (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-21 01:05
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.97%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-20 14:40
1xBet🎯3.99I 25.06%NM 24.00%EV -16.18%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.00%EV -0.469%E -0.372%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-20 21:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-07-21 02:05
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-07-21 02:05
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%0.7%2026-07-21 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-07-21 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-07-21 02:05
Polymarket4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%1.1%2026-07-21 02:05
ProphetX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-07-21 02:05
Novig4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03%2.5%2026-07-21 02:05