La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Seattle Storm v Minnesota Lynx
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Seattle Storm (Local)
Predicción 21.01%4.76momio equitativo
EV +5.03%
Ventaja +1.01%
Kelly +1.26%
Crecimiento +0.063%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.96%20.91%21.08%24.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.994.434.355.0025.06%22.58%22.99%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Minnesota Lynx (Visitante)
Predicción 78.99%1.27momio equitativo
EV -0.469%
Ventaja -0.372%
Kelly -1.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.00%79.09%78.92%81.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.211.221.2686.21%82.69%81.97%79.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +5.03%E +1.01%K +1.26%G +0.063% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +5.03%E +1.01%K +1.26%G +0.063% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +5.03%E +1.01%K +1.26%G +0.063% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -6.00%E -5.04%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| theScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.03%E +1.01%K +1.26%G +0.063% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-21 01:59 |
| 888sport | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.833%E +0.173%K +0.219%G +0.002% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 01:59 |
| BetMGM | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.218%E -0.046%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-21 00:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.218%E -0.046%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.218%E -0.046%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-21 02:00 |
| Fanatics | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.37%E -0.732%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-21 00:25 |
| Fliff | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.37%E -0.732%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.00%E -5.04%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| DraftKings | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.47%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-21 00:20 |
| Neds | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.47%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 00:50 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -5.47%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -8.37%E -7.21%K -52.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| Pinnacle | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.62%EV -6.31%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.38%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-21 01:55 |
| GTbets | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -6.52%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-21 01:59 |
| ReBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 01:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 01:54 |
| BetUS | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.57%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -8.20%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-21 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -8.20%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-21 02:00 |
| Caesars | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-21 00:17 |
| BetAnything | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-21 01:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| BetRivers | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 01:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 01:05 |
| TABtouch | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 01:05 |
| Unibet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 01:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 01:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 01:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 01:05 |
| betPARX | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 01:04 |
| Bally Bet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 01:05 |
| Bovada | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| SportsBet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-21 00:20 |
| LeoVegas | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -8.62%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.95%EV -8.37%E -7.21%K -52.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| Bet Right | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.67%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| NordicBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.67%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-20 19:20 |
| Betsson | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.67%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-20 19:20 |
| FanDuel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-21 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-21 01:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-21 01:30 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.77%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-21 02:00 |
| BoyleSports | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-20 20:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -13.87%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-21 01:05 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.97%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-20 14:40 |
| 1xBet | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.00%EV -16.18%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.00%EV -0.469%E -0.372%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-20 21:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| Matchbook | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| Kalshi | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 0.7% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| Polymarket | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 1.1% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| ProphetX | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
| Novig | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03% | 2.5% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |