The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Seattle Storm v Los Angeles Sparks

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 21:03 UTC

Final: Seattle Storm 74–90 Los Angeles Sparks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Storm (Local)

Prediction 47.43%2.11fair odd
EV +1.96%
Edge +0.914%
Kelly +1.71%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%47.20%47.40%49.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.032.002.1551.55%49.18%50.00%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Sparks (Visit)

Prediction 52.57%1.90fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.901%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.92%52.80%52.60%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.791.801.8760.61%56.02%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Storm (Local): 47.43%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visit): 52.57%. For Seattle Storm (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +1.96%E +0.914%K +1.71%G +0.034%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -8.52%E -4.90%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 20:59
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +1.96%E +0.914%K +1.71%G +0.034%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -8.52%E -4.90%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 20:55
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV +1.02%E +0.477%K +0.899%G +0.009%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -7.47%E -4.24%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 21:00
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 21:00
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 21:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 21:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 21:00
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 20:59
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 21:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 21:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 21:00
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 21:00
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.74%E -1.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 20:58
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.74%E -1.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 20:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 21:00
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 19:00
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -10.10%E -5.90%K -14.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 20:15
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.20%E -2.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 21:00
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.20%E -2.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.42%E -3.61%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 21:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -4.20%E -2.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%EV -13.25%E -8.03%K -20.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 21:00
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.26%E -1.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 18:50
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 19:00
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 21:00
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 19:00
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 18:59
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 19:05
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.31%E -2.37%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 20:45
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 12:35
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 20:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 12:35
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 21:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.94%E -3.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 21:00
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 21:00
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 20:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.62%E -2.83%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 20:49
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 20:55
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 20:45
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.99%E -4.57%K -10.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 21:00
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.05%E -3.59%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.26%E -1.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:55
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.69%E -0.901%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 20:58
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.99%E -4.57%K -10.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 21:00
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.99%E -4.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.69%E -0.901%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.99%E -4.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.69%E -0.901%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 20:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-08-30 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-08-30 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-08-30 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-08-30 20:55
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-30 21:00
ProphetX◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-08-30 21:00
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-08-30 21:00
Novig◎2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%3.3%2026-08-30 21:00