Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Storm v Los Angeles Sparks

Início: 2026-08-30 21:03 UTC

Final: Seattle Storm 74–90 Los Angeles Sparks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Storm (Local)

Previsão 47.43%2.11odd justa
EV +1.96%
Vantagem +0.914%
Kelly +1.71%
Crescimento +0.034%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.73%47.20%47.40%49.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.942.032.002.1551.55%49.18%50.00%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)

Previsão 52.57%1.90odd justa
EV -1.69%
Vantagem -0.901%
Kelly -1.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.92%52.80%52.60%55.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.791.801.8760.61%56.02%55.56%53.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Storm (Local): 47.43%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante): 52.57%. Para Seattle Storm (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.11. 13 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.15, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.96%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +1.96%E +0.914%K +1.71%G +0.034%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -8.52%E -4.90%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 20:59
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +1.96%E +0.914%K +1.71%G +0.034%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -8.52%E -4.90%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 20:55
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV +1.02%E +0.477%K +0.899%G +0.009%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -7.47%E -4.24%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 21:00
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 21:00
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 21:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 21:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 21:00
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 20:59
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 21:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 21:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 21:00
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 21:00
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.74%E -1.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 20:58
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.74%E -1.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 20:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 21:00
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 19:00
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -10.10%E -5.90%K -14.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 20:15
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.20%E -2.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 21:00
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.20%E -2.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.42%E -3.61%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 21:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -4.20%E -2.08%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%EV -13.25%E -8.03%K -20.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 21:00
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.26%E -1.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 18:50
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 19:00
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 21:00
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 19:00
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 18:59
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 19:05
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.31%E -2.37%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 20:45
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 12:35
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 20:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 12:35
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 21:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.94%E -3.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 21:00
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 21:00
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 20:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.62%E -2.83%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 20:49
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 20:55
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 20:45
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.99%E -4.57%K -10.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 21:00
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.05%E -3.59%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.26%E -1.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 20:55
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.69%E -0.901%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 20:58
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.99%E -4.57%K -10.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 21:00
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.99%E -4.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.69%E -0.901%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.99%E -4.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.69%E -0.901%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 20:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-08-30 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-08-30 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-08-30 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-08-30 20:55
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-30 21:00
ProphetX◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-08-30 21:00
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-08-30 21:00
Novig◎2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%3.3%2026-08-30 21:00