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Seattle Storm v Los Angeles Sparks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Seattle Storm (Local)
Predicción 47.43%2.11momio equitativo
EV +1.96%
Ventaja +0.914%
Kelly +1.71%
Crecimiento +0.034%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.73%47.20%47.40%49.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.942.032.002.1551.55%49.18%50.00%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)
Predicción 52.57%1.90momio equitativo
EV -1.69%
Ventaja -0.901%
Kelly -1.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.92%52.80%52.60%55.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.791.801.8760.61%56.02%55.56%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Seattle Storm (Local): 47.43%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante): 52.57%. Para Seattle Storm (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.11. 13 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.15, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.96%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +1.96%E +0.914%K +1.71%G +0.034% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -8.52%E -4.90%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 20:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +1.96%E +0.914%K +1.71%G +0.034% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -8.52%E -4.90%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV +1.02%E +0.477%K +0.899%G +0.009% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -7.47%E -4.24%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 20:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 20:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +0.542%E +0.256%K +0.484%G +0.003% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.74%E -1.48%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 20:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.74%E -1.48%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -10.10%E -5.90%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.20%E -2.08%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.20%E -2.08%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.42%E -3.61%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -4.20%E -2.08%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%EV -13.25%E -8.03%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.26%E -1.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 18:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 19:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.31%E -2.37%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 20:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 20:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 12:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.94%E -3.92%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.15%E -2.57%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.62%E -2.83%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 20:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.79%E -2.07%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 20:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.99%E -4.57%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.05%E -3.59%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.26%E -1.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.69%E -0.901%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 20:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.99%E -4.57%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.99%E -4.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.69%E -0.901%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.99%E -4.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.69%E -0.901%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 20:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |