Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.90
assuming max odds 1.38
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Storm (Local): 27.41%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visit): 72.59%. For Seattle Storm (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.89%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%EV +6.89%E +1.77%K +2.37%G +0.163% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +2.77%E +0.740%K +1.01%G +0.028% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.26%E -7.41%K -37.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.40%E +0.380%K +0.520%G +0.007% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.35%E -4.93%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.34%E -0.371%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-11 01:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.34%E -0.371%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -1.34%E -0.371%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.08%E -5.53%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV -2.98%E -0.842%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.84%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-11 01:57 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.81%E -6.15%K -28.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -6.27%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -8.19%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.19%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.19%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.19%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-11 01:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.30%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.25%EV -13.67%E -4.34%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.75%EV -9.98%E -8.05%K -41.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -17.78%E -5.93%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +0.179%E +0.130%K +0.471%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 1.0% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 1.3% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 2.1% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.99% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.01% | 3.8% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |