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Seattle Storm v Los Angeles Sparks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Seattle Storm (Local)
Predicción 27.41%3.65momio equitativo
EV +6.89%
Ventaja +1.77%
Kelly +2.37%
Crecimiento +0.163%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.00%27.15%27.23%31.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.453.453.9033.33%28.98%28.99%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)
Predicción 72.59%1.38momio equitativo
EV +0.179%
Ventaja +0.130%
Kelly +0.471%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.49%72.85%72.77%75.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.241.311.321.3880.65%76.27%75.76%72.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Seattle Storm (Local): 27.41%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante): 72.59%. Para Seattle Storm (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.65. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.89%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%EV +6.89%E +1.77%K +2.37%G +0.163% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +2.77%E +0.740%K +1.01%G +0.028% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.26%E -7.41%K -37.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.40%E +0.380%K +0.520%G +0.007% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.35%E -4.93%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.34%E -0.371%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-11 01:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.34%E -0.371%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -1.34%E -0.371%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.08%E -5.53%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV -2.98%E -0.842%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.84%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-11 01:57 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.81%E -6.15%K -28.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -6.27%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -8.19%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.19%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.19%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.19%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-11 01:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.30%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.25%EV -13.67%E -4.34%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.75%EV -9.98%E -8.05%K -41.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -17.78%E -5.93%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +0.179%E +0.130%K +0.471%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-06-11 01:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 1.0% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 1.3% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 2.1% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.99% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.01% | 3.8% | 2026-06-11 02:00 |