A Escola das Odds

Seattle Storm v Los Angeles Sparks

Início: 2026-06-11 02:03 UTC

Final: Seattle Storm 83–88 Los Angeles Sparks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Seattle Storm (Local)

Previsão 27.41%3.65odd justa
EV +6.89%
Vantagem +1.77%
Kelly +2.37%
Crescimento +0.163%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.00%27.15%27.23%31.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.453.453.9033.33%28.98%28.99%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)

Previsão 72.59%1.38odd justa
EV +0.179%
Vantagem +0.130%
Kelly +0.471%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.49%72.85%72.77%75.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.241.311.321.3880.65%76.27%75.76%72.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%EV +6.89%E +1.77%K +2.37%G +0.163%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-11 01:59
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +2.77%E +0.740%K +1.01%G +0.028%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.26%E -7.41%K -37.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-11 02:00
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.40%E +0.380%K +0.520%G +0.007%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.35%E -4.93%K -21.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-11 02:00
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.34%E -0.371%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 01:58
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.34%E -0.371%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 01:59
Fliff3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -1.34%E -0.371%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.08%E -5.53%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 02:00
Pinnacle3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV -2.98%E -0.842%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.84%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-11 02:00
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-11 01:59
Caesars3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 01:57
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.90%E -3.74%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 02:00
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-11 01:59
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-11 01:59
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-11 01:59
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.08%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.81%E -6.15%K -28.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-11 02:00
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-11 01:59
GTbets3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-11 01:59
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-11 01:59
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.45%E -2.59%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-11 02:00
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 02:00
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 02:00
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 02:00
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 02:00
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 02:00
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 02:00
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 02:00
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 02:00
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 02:00
ReBet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 01:59
MyBookie.ag3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -6.27%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 01:59
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-11 02:00
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-11 02:00
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-11 01:59
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-11 01:59
BetAnything3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -8.19%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -2.72%E -2.03%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-11 02:00
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.19%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 02:00
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.19%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.18%E -3.16%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 02:00
Unibet (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.19%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-11 01:58
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-11 02:00
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.30%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-11 01:59
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.25%EV -13.67%E -4.34%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.75%EV -9.98%E -8.05%K -41.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-11 02:00
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -17.78%E -5.93%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +0.179%E +0.130%K +0.471%G +0.001%5.8%2026-06-11 01:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-06-11 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-06-11 02:00
Polymarket3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%1.0%2026-06-11 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-06-11 02:00
ProphetX3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%1.3%2026-06-11 02:00
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%2.1%2026-06-11 02:00
Novig3.57I 28.01%NM 26.99%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.01%3.8%2026-06-11 02:00