Language:English
Seattle Storm v Connecticut Sun
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Seattle Storm (Local)
Prediction 56.16%1.78fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.982%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.12%56.20%59.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.691.701.7564.10%59.10%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Connecticut Sun (Visit)
Prediction 43.84%2.28fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.605%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.94%43.88%43.80%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.172.182.2549.02%46.12%45.87%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Storm (Local): 56.16%; Connecticut Sun (Visit): 43.84%. For Connecticut Sun (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -1.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -1.72%E -0.982%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-21 01:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 01:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.40%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.99%E -1.82%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-21 01:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.40%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 01:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-21 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-21 01:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-21 01:57 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-21 01:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.31%E -2.46%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 01:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.68%E -1.21%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-21 01:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 01:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-21 01:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-21 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.77%E -4.08%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 01:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.51%EV -11.83%E -7.53%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.49%EV -10.57%E -5.18%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -12.39%E -7.94%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -1.36%E -0.605%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61% | 2.5% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71% | 2.7% | 2026-05-21 02:00 |