La escuela de los momios

Seattle Storm v Connecticut Sun

Inicio: 2026-05-21 02:05 UTC

Final: Seattle Storm 78–80 Connecticut Sun

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Seattle Storm (Local)

Predicción 56.16%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -0.982%
Kelly -2.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%56.12%56.20%59.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.691.701.7564.10%59.10%58.82%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Connecticut Sun (Visitante)

Predicción 43.84%2.28momio equitativo
EV -1.36%
Ventaja -0.605%
Kelly -1.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.94%43.88%43.80%45.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.042.172.182.2549.02%46.12%45.87%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -1.72%E -0.982%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 01:58
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 01:59
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 01:59
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 01:59
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.40%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.99%E -1.82%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 01:59
ReBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.40%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 01:59
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 01:59
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 02:00
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 01:59
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 01:57
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 01:59
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 02:00
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 02:00
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 02:00
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 02:00
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 02:00
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 02:00
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 02:00
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 02:00
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 02:00
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 02:00
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 02:00
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 02:00
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.31%E -2.46%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 02:00
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 02:00
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 02:00
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 01:59
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 02:00
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.68%E -1.21%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 01:58
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 02:00
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 02:00
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-21 02:00
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 02:00
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 02:00
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 01:59
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 02:00
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 01:59
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 01:59
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 02:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 02:00
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.77%E -4.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 02:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 01:59
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.51%EV -11.83%E -7.53%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.49%EV -10.57%E -5.18%K -10.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-21 02:00
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -12.39%E -7.94%K -22.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -1.36%E -0.605%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 02:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-05-21 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-05-21 02:00
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-21 02:00
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-21 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-05-21 02:00
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%2.5%2026-05-21 02:00
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%2.7%2026-05-21 02:00