A Escola das Odds

Seattle Storm v Connecticut Sun

Início: 2026-05-21 02:05 UTC

Final: Seattle Storm 78–80 Connecticut Sun

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Seattle Storm (Local)

Previsão 56.16%1.78odd justa
EV -1.72%
Vantagem -0.982%
Kelly -2.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.83%56.12%56.20%59.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.561.691.701.7564.10%59.10%58.82%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Connecticut Sun (Visitante)

Previsão 43.84%2.28odd justa
EV -1.36%
Vantagem -0.605%
Kelly -1.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.94%43.88%43.80%45.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.042.172.182.2549.02%46.12%45.87%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -1.72%E -0.982%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 01:58
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 01:59
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 01:59
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 01:59
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.40%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.99%E -1.82%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 01:59
ReBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.40%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 01:59
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 01:59
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 02:00
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 01:59
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 01:57
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 01:59
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 02:00
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 02:00
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 02:00
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 02:00
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 02:00
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 02:00
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 02:00
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 02:00
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 02:00
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 02:00
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 02:00
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 02:00
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.31%E -2.46%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 02:00
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 02:00
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 02:00
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 01:59
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 02:00
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.68%E -1.21%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 01:58
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 02:00
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 02:00
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-21 02:00
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 02:00
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 02:00
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 01:59
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 02:00
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 01:59
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 01:59
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 02:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 02:00
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.77%E -4.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 02:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.02%E -5.57%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 01:59
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.51%EV -11.83%E -7.53%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.49%EV -10.57%E -5.18%K -10.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-21 02:00
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -12.39%E -7.94%K -22.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -1.36%E -0.605%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 02:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-05-21 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-05-21 02:00
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-21 02:00
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-21 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-05-21 02:00
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%2.5%2026-05-21 02:00
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%2.7%2026-05-21 02:00