Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland Fire v Toronto Tempo

Kickoff: 2026-08-07 02:03 UTC

Final: Portland Fire 97–83 Toronto Tempo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland Fire (Local)

Prediction 56.06%1.78fair odd
EV +2.59%
Edge +1.41%
Kelly +3.11%
Growth +0.081%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.84%55.83%56.21%57.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.731.711.8361.73%57.92%58.48%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Tempo (Visit)

Prediction 43.94%2.28fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.502%
Kelly -0.903%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%44.17%43.79%48.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.122.152.2552.91%47.23%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Fire (Local): 56.06%; Toronto Tempo (Visit): 43.94%. For Portland Fire (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 02:01
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 02:00
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 02:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 02:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 02:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 02:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 02:00
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 02:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 02:00
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 02:00
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.90%E -1.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 01:50
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.90%E -1.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 01:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.90%E -1.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.96%E -2.79%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 01:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%EV -1.90%E -1.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -16.95%E -8.97%K -19.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 02:00
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.46%E -1.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 02:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.46%E -1.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.72%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 23:30
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.58%E -2.08%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.72%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 23:15
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 23:45
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 21:59
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 23:45
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 23:45
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 02:00
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.96%E -2.79%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.72%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 02:00
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.72%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 02:00
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.70%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 01:55
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.70%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 23:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.70%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.70%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 22:00
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.70%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 22:00
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.70%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.70%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.26%E -3.11%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.13%E -0.502%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-07 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.26%E -3.11%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.13%E -0.502%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-07 02:00
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.26%E -3.11%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.45%E -1.10%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 01:13
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.26%E -3.11%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 22:30
ReBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.82%E -3.47%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 20:01
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.82%E -3.47%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 18:40
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.82%E -3.47%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 21:50
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 05:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 05:10
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 04:50
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.72%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 04:00
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.72%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 01:55
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.21%E -1.93%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 13:09
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.21%E -1.93%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 13:10
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-07 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-07 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-07 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-07 02:00
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-07 01:35
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-07 01:55
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%1.5%2026-08-07 02:00