Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Portland Fire v Toronto Tempo

Início: 2026-08-07 02:03 UTC

Final: Portland Fire 97–83 Toronto Tempo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Portland Fire (Local)

Previsão 56.06%1.78odd justa
EV +2.59%
Vantagem +1.41%
Kelly +3.11%
Crescimento +0.081%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.84%55.83%56.21%57.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.731.711.8361.73%57.92%58.48%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Tempo (Visitante)

Previsão 43.94%2.28odd justa
EV -1.13%
Vantagem -0.502%
Kelly -0.903%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.89%44.17%43.79%48.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.892.122.152.2552.91%47.23%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Portland Fire (Local): 56.06%; Toronto Tempo (Visitante): 43.94%. Para Portland Fire (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.78. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.83, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.59%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 02:01
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 02:00
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 02:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 02:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 02:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 02:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 02:00
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 02:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 02:00
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 02:00
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.90%E -1.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 01:50
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.90%E -1.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 01:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.90%E -1.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.96%E -2.79%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 01:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%EV -1.90%E -1.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -16.95%E -8.97%K -19.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 02:00
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.46%E -1.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 02:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.46%E -1.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.72%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 23:30
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.58%E -2.08%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.72%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 23:15
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 23:45
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 21:59
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 23:45
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 23:45
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 02:00
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.96%E -2.79%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.72%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 02:00
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.72%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 02:00
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.70%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 01:55
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.70%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 23:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.70%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.70%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 22:00
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.70%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 22:00
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.70%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.70%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.26%E -3.11%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.13%E -0.502%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-07 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.26%E -3.11%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.13%E -0.502%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-07 02:00
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.26%E -3.11%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.45%E -1.10%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 01:13
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.26%E -3.11%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 22:30
ReBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.82%E -3.47%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 20:01
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.82%E -3.47%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 18:40
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.82%E -3.47%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 21:50
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 05:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 05:10
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 04:50
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.72%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 04:00
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.72%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 01:55
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.21%E -1.93%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 13:09
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.21%E -1.93%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 13:10
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 02:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-07 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-07 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-07 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-07 02:00
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-07 01:35
Novig◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-07 01:55
ProphetX◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%1.5%2026-08-07 02:00