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Portland Fire v Toronto Tempo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Portland Fire (Local)
Predicción 56.06%1.78momio equitativo
EV +2.59%
Ventaja +1.41%
Kelly +3.11%
Crecimiento +0.081%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.84%55.83%56.21%57.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.731.711.8361.73%57.92%58.48%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Toronto Tempo (Visitante)
Predicción 43.94%2.28momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.502%
Kelly -0.903%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.89%44.17%43.79%48.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.892.122.152.2552.91%47.23%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Portland Fire (Local): 56.06%; Toronto Tempo (Visitante): 43.94%. Para Portland Fire (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.78. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.83, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.59%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 02:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 02:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV +2.59%E +1.41%K +3.11%G +0.081% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -13.43%E -6.82%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.90%E -1.09%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 01:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.90%E -1.09%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 01:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.90%E -1.09%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.96%E -2.79%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 01:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%EV -1.90%E -1.09%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -16.95%E -8.97%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.46%E -1.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.46%E -1.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.72%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.58%E -2.08%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.72%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 23:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 23:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 21:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 23:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 23:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.96%E -2.79%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 01:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.72%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.72%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.70%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.89%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 01:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.70%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 23:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.70%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 01:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.70%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 22:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.70%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.70%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.70%E -2.77%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.26%E -3.11%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.13%E -0.502%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.26%E -3.11%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.13%E -0.502%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.26%E -3.11%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.45%E -1.10%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 01:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.26%E -3.11%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 22:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.82%E -3.47%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 20:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.82%E -3.47%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 18:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.82%E -3.47%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 05:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.33%E -1.51%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 05:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 04:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.72%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 04:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.72%E -3.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 01:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.21%E -1.93%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 13:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.21%E -1.93%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 13:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.19%E -5.67%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-07 01:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-07 01:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39% | 1.5% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |