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Portland Fire v New York Liberty
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Portland Fire (Local)
Prediction 14.44%6.92fair odd
EV +22.78%
Edge +2.68%
Kelly +3.04%
Growth +0.692%
assuming max odds 8.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.18%14.20%14.59%16.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.306.446.408.5018.87%15.54%15.63%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Liberty (Visit)
Prediction 85.56%1.17fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -17.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.08%85.80%85.41%88.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.111.121.1493.46%89.82%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Fire (Local): 14.44%; New York Liberty (Visit): 85.56%. For Portland Fire (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.92. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +22.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +22.78%E +2.68%K +3.04%G +0.692% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -8.46%E -7.90%K -120.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +19.16%E +2.32%K +2.64%G +0.507% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -5.89%E -5.35%K -58.89%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-13 01:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.33%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.107% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.19%K -74.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +8.33%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.107% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.60%E -7.04%K -95.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.11%E +0.159%K +0.185%G +0.002% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.60%E -7.04%K -95.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.50%E -0.371%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.50%E -0.371%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -2.50%E -0.371%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -8.46%E -7.90%K -120.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -4.52%E -0.684%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -4.52%E -0.684%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.11%E -0.940%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.11%E -0.940%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.11%E -0.940%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.11%E -0.940%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.11%E -0.940%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -6.11%E -0.940%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.74%E -6.19%K -74.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -9.00%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -9.00%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 01:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -9.72%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.32%E -2.94%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.72%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.72%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.33%E -2.22%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.33%E -2.22%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.33%E -2.22%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.33%E -2.22%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -14.78%E -2.50%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -3.32%E -2.94%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -16.22%E -2.80%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.32%E -2.94%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -16.95%E -2.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.47%E -2.16%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -16.95%E -2.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.47%E -2.16%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -16.95%E -2.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.32%E -2.94%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -20.56%E -3.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.80%EV -23.45%E -4.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.20%EV -8.46%E -7.90%K -120.79%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29% | 2.3% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.56% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.44% | 3.3% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 5.99I 16.69%NM 15.40% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.60% | 8.4% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70% | 9.3% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.58% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.42% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |