L’École des cotes

Portland Fire v New York Liberty

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-13 02:01 UTC

Score final : Portland Fire 98–96 New York Liberty

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Portland Fire (Local)

Prévision 14.44%6.92cote équitable
EV +22.78%
Avantage +2.68%
Kelly +3.04%
Croissance +0.692%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.18%14.20%14.59%16.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.306.446.408.5018.87%15.54%15.63%11.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Liberty (Visiteur)

Prévision 85.56%1.17cote équitable
EV -2.47%
Avantage -2.16%
Kelly -17.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.08%85.80%85.41%88.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.071.111.121.1493.46%89.82%89.29%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +22.78%E +2.68%K +3.04%G +0.692%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -8.46%E -7.90%K -120.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 02:00
Bet Victor8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +19.16%E +2.32%K +2.64%G +0.507%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -5.89%E -5.35%K -58.89%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-13 01:58
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.33%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.107%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.19%K -74.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 01:59
Betway7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +8.33%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.107%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.60%E -7.04%K -95.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 02:00
Hard Rock Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.11%E +0.159%K +0.185%G +0.002%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.60%E -7.04%K -95.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 02:00
BetAnything6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.50%E -0.371%K -0.435%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 01:59
DraftKings6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.50%E -0.371%K -0.435%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 02:00
Coolbet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -2.50%E -0.371%K -0.435%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -8.46%E -7.90%K -120.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 02:00
LowVig.ag6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -4.52%E -0.684%K -0.806%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 02:00
BetOnline.ag6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -4.52%E -0.684%K -0.806%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 02:00
Fanatics6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.11%E -0.940%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 02:00
Caesars6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.11%E -0.940%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 01:59
GTbets6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.11%E -0.940%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 01:59
BetUS6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.11%E -0.940%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 02:00
888sport6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.11%E -0.940%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 01:59
Fliff6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -6.11%E -0.940%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.74%E -6.19%K -74.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 02:00
TABtouch6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
Unibet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
LeoVegas6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
ATG (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 01:59
Bally Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
betPARX6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
Svenska Spel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 02:00
MyBookie.ag6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -9.00%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 02:00
ReBet6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -9.00%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 01:58
BetMGM6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -9.72%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.32%E -2.94%K -25.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 02:00
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.72%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 01:59
Bet Right6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.72%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 01:59
BetRivers6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.33%E -2.22%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 02:00
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.33%E -2.22%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 01:59
Betsson6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.33%E -2.22%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 01:59
NordicBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.33%E -2.22%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 01:59
FanDuel5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -14.78%E -2.50%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -3.32%E -2.94%K -25.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 02:00
TAB5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -16.22%E -2.80%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.32%E -2.94%K -25.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -16.95%E -2.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.47%E -2.16%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 01:59
Neds5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -16.95%E -2.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.47%E -2.16%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 02:00
SportsBet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -16.95%E -2.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.32%E -2.94%K -25.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 01:59
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -20.56%E -3.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 02:00
PMU (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 16.80%EV -23.45%E -4.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 83.20%EV -8.46%E -7.90%K -120.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-13 02:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29%2.3%2026-05-13 02:00
Polymarket7.14I 14.01%NM 13.56%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.44%3.3%2026-05-13 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%4.6%2026-05-13 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%4.6%2026-05-13 02:00
Novig5.99I 16.69%NM 15.40%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.60%8.4%2026-05-13 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%9.3%2026-05-13 02:00
ProphetX5.85I 17.09%NM 15.58%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.42%9.7%2026-05-13 02:00