La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Portland Fire v New York Liberty
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Portland Fire (Local)
Predicción 14.44%6.92momio equitativo
EV +22.78%
Ventaja +2.68%
Kelly +3.04%
Crecimiento +0.692%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.18%14.20%14.59%16.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.306.446.408.5018.87%15.54%15.63%11.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
New York Liberty (Visitante)
Predicción 85.56%1.17momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -2.16%
Kelly -17.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
83.08%85.80%85.41%88.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.071.111.121.1493.46%89.82%89.29%87.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +22.78%E +2.68%K +3.04%G +0.692% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -8.46%E -7.90%K -120.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Bet Victor | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +19.16%E +2.32%K +2.64%G +0.507% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -5.89%E -5.35%K -58.89%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-13 01:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.33%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.107% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.74%E -6.19%K -74.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| Betway | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +8.33%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.107% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.60%E -7.04%K -95.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.11%E +0.159%K +0.185%G +0.002% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.60%E -7.04%K -95.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| BetAnything | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.50%E -0.371%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| DraftKings | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.50%E -0.371%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Coolbet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -2.50%E -0.371%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -8.46%E -7.90%K -120.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -4.52%E -0.684%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -4.52%E -0.684%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Fanatics | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.11%E -0.940%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Caesars | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.11%E -0.940%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| GTbets | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.11%E -0.940%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| BetUS | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.11%E -0.940%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| 888sport | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.11%E -0.940%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| Fliff | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -6.11%E -0.940%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.74%E -6.19%K -74.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| TABtouch | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Unibet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| LeoVegas | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| Bally Bet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| betPARX | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.56%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -9.00%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| ReBet | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -9.00%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 01:58 |
| BetMGM | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -9.72%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.32%E -2.94%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.72%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| Bet Right | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.72%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| BetRivers | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.33%E -2.22%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| BoyleSports | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.33%E -2.22%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| Betsson | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.33%E -2.22%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| NordicBet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.33%E -2.22%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.03%E -4.53%K -45.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| FanDuel | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -14.78%E -2.50%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -3.32%E -2.94%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| TAB | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -16.22%E -2.80%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.32%E -2.94%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -16.95%E -2.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.47%E -2.16%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| Neds | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -16.95%E -2.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.47%E -2.16%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| SportsBet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -16.95%E -2.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.32%E -2.94%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 01:59 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -20.56%E -3.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.18%E -3.73%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.80%EV -23.45%E -4.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.20%EV -8.46%E -7.90%K -120.79%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29% | 2.3% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Polymarket | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.56% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.44% | 3.3% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Novig | 5.99I 16.69%NM 15.40% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.60% | 8.4% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70% | 9.3% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |
| ProphetX | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.58% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.42% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 02:00 |