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Portland Fire v Las Vegas Aces
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Portland Fire (Local)
Prediction 18.90%5.29fair odd
EV +13.42%
Edge +2.24%
Kelly +2.68%
Growth +0.360%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.20%18.71%19.09%20.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.055.006.0022.22%19.79%20.00%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Las Vegas Aces (Visit)
Prediction 81.10%1.23fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -13.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.37%81.29%80.91%83.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.171.171.2090.09%85.37%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Fire (Local): 18.90%; Las Vegas Aces (Visit): 81.10%. For Portland Fire (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.29. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +13.42%E +2.24%K +2.68%G +0.360% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -5.93%E -5.11%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-12 01:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +3.97%E +0.722%K +0.883%G +0.035% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-11 21:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.97%E +0.722%K +0.883%G +0.035% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.55%E -6.62%K -53.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-12 02:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.97%E +0.722%K +0.883%G +0.035% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.55%E -6.62%K -53.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-12 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +3.22%E +0.589%K +0.721%G +0.023% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-11 21:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +3.22%E +0.589%K +0.721%G +0.023% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-11 21:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.15%EV +0.570%E +0.107%K +0.132%G +0.001% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.85%EV -4.31%E -3.65%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-12 02:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -0.753%E -0.143%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.93%E -5.11%K -37.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 02:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 02:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 02:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 02:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 02:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 02:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 02:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.59%E -0.704%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.31%E -3.65%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 22:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.31%E -3.65%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 01:57 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.31%E -3.65%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 22:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-12 02:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-12 02:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -6.42%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -3.50%E -2.94%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-12 01:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.12%EV -6.42%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.88%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-11 22:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -7.37%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.50%E -2.94%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-12 01:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -7.37%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.50%E -2.94%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-12 01:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.37%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.31%E -3.65%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 01:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.37%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.31%E -3.65%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 01:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.37%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-12 01:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.37%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-12 01:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.37%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-12 01:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -9.26%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.50%E -2.94%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-11 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -9.26%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.50%E -2.94%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-11 22:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.21%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.68%E -2.24%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-11 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -10.21%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-12 01:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -13.04%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.31%E -3.65%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-12 01:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.93%E -3.32%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-12 01:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.93%E -3.32%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-12 01:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -14.93%E -3.32%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.21%EV -9.98%E -8.99%K -90.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-06-12 01:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-06-12 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-06-12 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 1.0% | 2026-06-12 01:51 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 1.3% | 2026-06-12 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.53% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.47% | 1.4% | 2026-06-12 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.73% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.27% | 1.7% | 2026-06-12 02:00 |