L’École des cotes

Portland Fire v Las Vegas Aces

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-12 02:10 UTC

Score final : Portland Fire 89–105 Las Vegas Aces

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Portland Fire (Local)

Prévision 18.90%5.29cote équitable
EV +13.42%
Avantage +2.24%
Kelly +2.68%
Croissance +0.360%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.20%18.71%19.09%20.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.055.006.0022.22%19.79%20.00%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Las Vegas Aces (Visiteur)

Prévision 81.10%1.23cote équitable
EV -2.68%
Avantage -2.24%
Kelly -13.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.37%81.29%80.91%83.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.171.171.2090.09%85.37%85.47%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +13.42%E +2.24%K +2.68%G +0.360%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -5.93%E -5.11%K -37.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-12 01:59
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +3.97%E +0.722%K +0.883%G +0.035%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-11 21:59
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.97%E +0.722%K +0.883%G +0.035%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.55%E -6.62%K -53.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 02:00
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.97%E +0.722%K +0.883%G +0.035%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.55%E -6.62%K -53.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 02:00
LowVig.ag5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +3.22%E +0.589%K +0.721%G +0.023%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-11 21:59
BetOnline.ag5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +3.22%E +0.589%K +0.721%G +0.023%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-11 21:59
Pinnacle5.32I 18.80%NM 18.15%EV +0.570%E +0.107%K +0.132%G +0.001%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.85%EV -4.31%E -3.65%K -23.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-12 02:00
Fliff5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -0.753%E -0.143%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.93%E -5.11%K -37.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 02:00
LeoVegas5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 02:00
Unibet (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 02:00
Unibet (NL)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 02:00
Unibet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 02:00
betPARX5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 02:00
Svenska Spel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 02:00
ATG (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 02:00
Bally Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 02:00
Bovada5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.59%E -0.704%K -0.875%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 02:00
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.31%E -3.65%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 22:10
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.31%E -3.65%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 01:57
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.31%E -3.65%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 22:19
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-11 23:00
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-11 23:00
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-11 23:00
TABtouch5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 02:00
BetRivers5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 02:00
GTbets4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -6.42%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -3.50%E -2.94%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-12 01:40
MyBookie.ag4.95I 20.20%NM 19.12%EV -6.42%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.88%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-11 22:08
DraftKings4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -7.37%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.50%E -2.94%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 01:40
Fanatics4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -7.37%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.50%E -2.94%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 01:40
ReBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.37%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.31%E -3.65%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 01:40
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.37%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.31%E -3.65%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 01:40
SportsBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.37%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 01:39
Betsson4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.37%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 01:50
NordicBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.37%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 01:40
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -9.26%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.50%E -2.94%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -9.26%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.50%E -2.94%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 22:19
BetAnything4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.21%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.68%E -2.24%K -13.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-11 22:00
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -10.21%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 01:59
TAB4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -13.04%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.31%E -3.65%K -23.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 01:59
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.93%E -3.32%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-12 01:40
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.93%E -3.32%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-12 01:40
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -14.93%E -3.32%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 80.21%EV -9.98%E -8.99%K -90.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-12 00:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-06-12 01:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-06-12 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-06-12 02:00
Polymarket5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%1.0%2026-06-12 01:51
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%1.3%2026-06-12 02:00
Novig5.32I 18.80%NM 18.53%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.47%1.4%2026-06-12 02:00
ProphetX5.25I 19.05%NM 18.73%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.27%1.7%2026-06-12 02:00