A Escola das Odds

Portland Fire v Las Vegas Aces

Início: 2026-06-12 02:10 UTC

Final: Portland Fire 89–105 Las Vegas Aces

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Portland Fire (Local)

Previsão 18.90%5.29odd justa
EV +13.42%
Vantagem +2.24%
Kelly +2.68%
Crescimento +0.360%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.20%18.71%19.09%20.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.055.006.0022.22%19.79%20.00%16.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Las Vegas Aces (Visitante)

Previsão 81.10%1.23odd justa
EV -2.68%
Vantagem -2.24%
Kelly -13.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
79.37%81.29%80.91%83.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.111.171.171.2090.09%85.37%85.47%83.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +13.42%E +2.24%K +2.68%G +0.360%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -5.93%E -5.11%K -37.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-12 01:59
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +3.97%E +0.722%K +0.883%G +0.035%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-11 21:59
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.97%E +0.722%K +0.883%G +0.035%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.55%E -6.62%K -53.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 02:00
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.97%E +0.722%K +0.883%G +0.035%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.55%E -6.62%K -53.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 02:00
LowVig.ag5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +3.22%E +0.589%K +0.721%G +0.023%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-11 21:59
BetOnline.ag5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +3.22%E +0.589%K +0.721%G +0.023%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-11 21:59
Pinnacle5.32I 18.80%NM 18.15%EV +0.570%E +0.107%K +0.132%G +0.001%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.85%EV -4.31%E -3.65%K -23.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-12 02:00
Fliff5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -0.753%E -0.143%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.93%E -5.11%K -37.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 02:00
LeoVegas5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 02:00
Unibet (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 02:00
Unibet (NL)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 02:00
Unibet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 02:00
betPARX5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 02:00
Svenska Spel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 02:00
ATG (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 02:00
Bally Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.70%E -0.327%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 02:00
Bovada5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.59%E -0.704%K -0.875%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 02:00
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.31%E -3.65%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 22:10
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.31%E -3.65%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 01:57
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.31%E -3.65%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 22:19
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-11 23:00
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-11 23:00
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-11 23:00
TABtouch5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 02:00
BetRivers5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 02:00
GTbets4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -6.42%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -3.50%E -2.94%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-12 01:40
MyBookie.ag4.95I 20.20%NM 19.12%EV -6.42%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.88%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-11 22:08
DraftKings4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -7.37%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.50%E -2.94%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 01:40
Fanatics4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -7.37%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.50%E -2.94%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 01:40
ReBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.37%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.31%E -3.65%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 01:40
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.37%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.31%E -3.65%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 01:40
SportsBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.37%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 01:39
Betsson4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.37%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 01:50
NordicBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.37%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 01:40
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -9.26%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.50%E -2.94%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -9.26%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.50%E -2.94%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 22:19
BetAnything4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.21%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.68%E -2.24%K -13.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-11 22:00
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -10.21%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 01:59
TAB4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -13.04%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.31%E -3.65%K -23.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 01:59
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.93%E -3.32%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-12 01:40
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.93%E -3.32%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.12%E -4.37%K -30.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-12 01:40
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -14.93%E -3.32%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 80.21%EV -9.98%E -8.99%K -90.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-12 00:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-06-12 01:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-06-12 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-06-12 02:00
Polymarket5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%1.0%2026-06-12 01:51
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%1.3%2026-06-12 02:00
Novig5.32I 18.80%NM 18.53%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.47%1.4%2026-06-12 02:00
ProphetX5.25I 19.05%NM 18.73%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.27%1.7%2026-06-12 02:00