Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland Fire v Indiana Fever

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 00:05 UTC

Final: Portland Fire 100–84 Indiana Fever

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland Fire (Local)

Prediction 19.08%5.24fair odd
EV +2.29%
Edge +0.427%
Kelly +0.525%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 5.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.96%19.06%19.09%20.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.045.005.3622.22%19.85%20.00%18.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indiana Fever (Visit)

Prediction 80.92%1.24fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -14.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.37%80.94%80.91%82.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.171.171.2090.91%85.32%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Fire (Local): 19.08%; Indiana Fever (Visit): 80.92%. For Portland Fire (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.24. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.36, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯5.36I 18.66%NM 18.04%EV +2.29%E +0.427%K +0.525%G +0.012%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.96%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-31 00:00
Caesars🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 00:00
LeoVegas🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
BetRivers🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
Unibet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
TABtouch🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
Bally Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
betPARX🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
BetUS🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.72%E -0.333%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 23:59
DraftKings🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.67%E -0.524%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 00:00
BetAnything🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.67%E -0.524%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 23:59
BetOnline.ag🎯5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV -2.86%E -0.562%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -3.71%E -3.12%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-31 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV -2.86%E -0.562%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -3.71%E -3.12%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-31 00:00
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -2.90%E -2.42%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-30 23:58
GTbets🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 23:59
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 00:00
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 00:00
ReBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 23:59
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 23:59
MyBookie.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 23:59
Bet Right🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 00:00
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 23:59
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -5.53%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 23:59
FanDuel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.71%E -3.12%K -19.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 00:00
Bovada🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 23:59
SportsBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 00:00
Coolbet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 00:00
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 23:59
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.40%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.71%E -3.12%K -19.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 00:00
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.40%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.71%E -3.12%K -19.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 00:00
TAB🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.40%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 00:00
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.35%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.21%E -2.66%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.71%E -3.12%K -19.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 00:00
PMU (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -12.21%E -2.66%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 80.70%EV -10.99%E -9.99%K -109.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-31 00:00
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.12%E -3.14%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 00:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-05-31 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-05-31 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-05-31 00:00
Polymarket5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%1.3%2026-05-31 00:00
Novig5.52I 18.12%NM 17.86%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.14%1.4%2026-05-31 00:00
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%1.6%2026-05-31 00:00
ProphetX5.05I 19.80%NM 19.46%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.54%1.8%2026-05-31 00:00
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%2.3%2026-05-31 00:00