A Escola das Odds

Portland Fire v Indiana Fever

Início: 2026-05-31 00:05 UTC

Final: Portland Fire 100–84 Indiana Fever

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Portland Fire (Local)

Previsão 19.08%5.24odd justa
EV +2.29%
Vantagem +0.427%
Kelly +0.525%
Crescimento +0.012%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.96%19.06%19.09%20.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.045.005.3622.22%19.85%20.00%18.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Indiana Fever (Visitante)

Previsão 80.92%1.24odd justa
EV -2.90%
Vantagem -2.42%
Kelly -14.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
79.37%80.94%80.91%82.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.101.171.171.2090.91%85.32%85.47%83.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle5.36I 18.66%NM 18.04%EV +2.29%E +0.427%K +0.525%G +0.012%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.96%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-31 00:00
Caesars5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 00:00
LeoVegas5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
Unibet (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
Unibet (NL)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
BetRivers5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
Unibet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
TABtouch5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
Bally Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
betPARX5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
ATG (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
Svenska Spel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
BetUS5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.72%E -0.333%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 23:59
DraftKings5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.67%E -0.524%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 00:00
BetAnything5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.67%E -0.524%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 23:59
BetOnline.ag5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV -2.86%E -0.562%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -3.71%E -3.12%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-31 00:00
LowVig.ag5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV -2.86%E -0.562%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -3.71%E -3.12%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-31 00:00
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -2.90%E -2.42%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-30 23:58
GTbets5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 23:59
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 00:00
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 00:00
ReBet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 00:00
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 23:59
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 23:59
MyBookie.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 23:59
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 00:00
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 23:59
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 23:59
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 00:00
Betr (AU)4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -5.53%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 23:59
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.71%E -3.12%K -19.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 00:00
Bovada4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 23:59
SportsBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 00:00
Coolbet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 00:00
Betsson4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 23:59
NordicBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.40%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.71%E -3.12%K -19.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 00:00
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.40%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.71%E -3.12%K -19.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 00:00
TAB4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.40%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 00:00
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.35%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 00:00
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.21%E -2.66%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.71%E -3.12%K -19.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 00:00
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -12.21%E -2.66%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 80.70%EV -10.99%E -9.99%K -109.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-31 00:00
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.12%E -3.14%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 00:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-05-31 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-05-31 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-05-31 00:00
Polymarket5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%1.3%2026-05-31 00:00
Novig5.52I 18.12%NM 17.86%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.14%1.4%2026-05-31 00:00
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%1.6%2026-05-31 00:00
ProphetX5.05I 19.80%NM 19.46%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.54%1.8%2026-05-31 00:00
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%2.3%2026-05-31 00:00