L’École des cotes

Portland Fire v Indiana Fever

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-31 00:05 UTC

Score final : Portland Fire 100–84 Indiana Fever

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Portland Fire (Local)

Prévision 19.08%5.24cote équitable
EV +2.29%
Avantage +0.427%
Kelly +0.525%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 5.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.96%19.06%19.09%20.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.045.005.3622.22%19.85%20.00%18.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Indiana Fever (Visiteur)

Prévision 80.92%1.24cote équitable
EV -2.90%
Avantage -2.42%
Kelly -14.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.37%80.94%80.91%82.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.171.171.2090.91%85.32%85.47%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle5.36I 18.66%NM 18.04%EV +2.29%E +0.427%K +0.525%G +0.012%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.96%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-31 00:00
Caesars5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 00:00
LeoVegas5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
Unibet (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
Unibet (NL)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
BetRivers5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
Unibet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
TABtouch5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
Bally Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
betPARX5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
ATG (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
Svenska Spel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +1.15%E +0.216%K +0.266%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.14%E -5.29%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:00
BetUS5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.72%E -0.333%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 23:59
DraftKings5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.67%E -0.524%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 00:00
BetAnything5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.67%E -0.524%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 23:59
BetOnline.ag5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV -2.86%E -0.562%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -3.71%E -3.12%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-31 00:00
LowVig.ag5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV -2.86%E -0.562%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -3.71%E -3.12%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-31 00:00
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -2.90%E -2.42%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-30 23:58
GTbets5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 23:59
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 00:00
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 00:00
ReBet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 00:00
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 23:59
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 23:59
MyBookie.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 23:59
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 00:00
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 23:59
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 23:59
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 00:00
Betr (AU)4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -5.53%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 23:59
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.71%E -3.12%K -19.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 00:00
Bovada4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 23:59
SportsBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 00:00
Coolbet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 00:00
Betsson4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 23:59
NordicBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.40%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.71%E -3.12%K -19.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 00:00
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.40%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.71%E -3.12%K -19.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 00:00
TAB4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.40%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 00:00
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.35%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.52%E -3.83%K -25.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 00:00
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.21%E -2.66%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.71%E -3.12%K -19.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 00:00
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -12.21%E -2.66%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 80.70%EV -10.99%E -9.99%K -109.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-31 00:00
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.12%E -3.14%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.33%E -4.55%K -31.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 00:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-05-31 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-05-31 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-05-31 00:00
Polymarket5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%1.3%2026-05-31 00:00
Novig5.52I 18.12%NM 17.86%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.14%1.4%2026-05-31 00:00
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%1.6%2026-05-31 00:00
ProphetX5.05I 19.80%NM 19.46%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.54%1.8%2026-05-31 00:00
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%2.3%2026-05-31 00:00