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Portland Fire v Dallas Wings
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Portland Fire (Local)
Prediction 30.28%3.30fair odd
EV +3.24%
Edge +0.951%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.044%
assuming max odds 3.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.60%30.23%30.24%32.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.183.203.4135.09%31.49%31.25%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dallas Wings (Visit)
Prediction 69.72%1.43fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -5.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.86%69.77%69.76%72.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.351.351.4078.74%73.88%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Fire (Local): 30.28%; Dallas Wings (Visit): 69.72%. For Portland Fire (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.60%EV +3.24%E +0.951%K +1.35%G +0.044% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.40%EV -9.36%E -7.20%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.94%E +0.865%K +1.23%G +0.036% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-23 01:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +1.43%E +0.426%K +0.607%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-23 02:13 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.43%E +0.426%K +0.607%G +0.009% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 01:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -0.087%E -0.026%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-23 01:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -0.087%E -0.026%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-23 01:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 01:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 01:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV -1.90%E -0.587%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.28%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-23 02:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.11%E -0.973%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 01:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.11%E -0.973%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.11%E -0.973%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.97%E -6.03%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.11%E -0.973%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.97%E -6.03%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -3.72%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -6.57%E -4.90%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-23 01:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.39%E -1.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-23 01:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.39%E -1.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-23 01:48 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 01:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 01:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -9.36%E -7.20%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.39%E -1.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.39%E -1.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 01:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 01:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-23 00:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.94%EV -11.45%E -9.02%K -42.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.39%E -1.71%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-23 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-23 00:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -13.71%E -4.81%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 1.0% | 2026-07-23 01:59 |
| Novig◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85% | 3.0% | 2026-07-23 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.33% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.67% | 8.7% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.33% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.67% | 8.7% | 2026-07-23 02:14 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.66% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.34% | 16.9% | 2026-07-23 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 57.74% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 42.26% | 71.5% | 2026-07-23 02:15 |
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