A Escola das Odds

Portland Fire v Dallas Wings

Início: 2026-07-23 02:16 UTC

Final: Portland Fire 97–101 Dallas Wings

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Portland Fire (Local)

Previsão 30.28%3.30odd justa
EV +3.24%
Vantagem +0.951%
Kelly +1.35%
Crescimento +0.044%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.60%30.23%30.24%32.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.853.183.203.4135.09%31.49%31.25%29.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Dallas Wings (Visitante)

Previsão 69.72%1.43odd justa
EV -2.39%
Vantagem -1.71%
Kelly -5.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.86%69.77%69.76%72.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.271.351.351.4078.74%73.88%74.07%71.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets3.41I 29.33%NM 27.60%EV +3.24%E +0.951%K +1.35%G +0.044%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.40%EV -9.36%E -7.20%K -31.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 02:14
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.94%E +0.865%K +1.23%G +0.036%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-23 01:40
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +1.43%E +0.426%K +0.607%G +0.009%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-23 02:13
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.43%E +0.426%K +0.607%G +0.009%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 01:49
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -0.087%E -0.026%K -0.038%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-23 01:44
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -0.087%E -0.026%K -0.038%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-23 01:44
Fanatics3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-23 01:59
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 01:35
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 02:14
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 02:14
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 02:14
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 02:14
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 02:14
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 02:14
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.60%E -0.493%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 02:14
Pinnacle3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV -1.90%E -0.587%K -0.850%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.28%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-23 02:00
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.11%E -0.973%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 01:54
Fliff3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.11%E -0.973%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 02:14
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.11%E -0.973%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.97%E -6.03%K -24.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 02:14
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.11%E -0.973%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.97%E -6.03%K -24.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 02:14
SportsBet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -3.72%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -6.57%E -4.90%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 01:55
Bet Victor3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.39%E -1.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-23 01:48
betano_uk3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.39%E -1.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-23 01:48
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 01:45
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 01:44
BetAnything3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 01:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -9.36%E -7.20%K -31.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-23 02:14
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.39%E -1.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-23 02:14
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.39%E -1.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-23 02:14
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 01:30
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.78%E -2.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 01:44
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 00:09
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.94%EV -11.45%E -9.02%K -42.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-23 02:14
MyBookie.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.39%E -1.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 02:14
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 01:59
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 02:14
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-23 00:09
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 02:14
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -13.71%E -4.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-23 02:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%1.0%2026-07-23 01:59
Novig3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%3.0%2026-07-23 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 33.33%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.67%8.7%2026-07-23 02:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 33.33%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.67%8.7%2026-07-23 02:14
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 35.66%1.33I 75.19%NM 64.34%16.9%2026-07-23 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 57.74%1.38I 72.46%NM 42.26%71.5%2026-07-23 02:15